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October 19, 2020, 11:13:27 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE, ON Progressive)
  DFP: Tied in GA, Trump +9 in SC
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Author Topic: DFP: Tied in GA, Trump +9 in SC  (Read 616 times)
VARepublican
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« on: October 14, 2020, 05:47:48 PM »

GA
Biden 46%
Trump 46%

https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020-senate-project/week-4/GA.pdf

SC
Trump 52%
Biden 43%

https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020-senate-project/week-4/SC.pdf
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Buzz
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2020, 05:49:47 PM »

I though Trump was down 7 in Georgia?
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Delegate Weatherboy
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2020, 05:50:37 PM »
« Edited: October 14, 2020, 07:55:26 PM by Delegate Weatherboy »

Harrison is not outrunning biden by 10 points. Throw it in the garbage
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Beida
redjohn
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2020, 05:51:28 PM »

I though Trump was down 7 in Georgia?

ohmigod i can't take it i tell ya
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2020, 05:51:37 PM »

I though Trump was down 7 in Georgia?

The consistent thing is Trump is at 44-46 in Georgia polls
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darthpi
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2020, 05:52:38 PM »

Sounds mostly reasonable.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2020, 06:11:39 PM »

GA
October 8-11
782 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%

Changes with September 14-19 poll (that was marked as partisan and this one isn't)

Biden 46% (+1)
Trump 46% (+1)
Jorgensen 2% (+1)
Hawkins 1% (+1)
Not sure/don't know 5% (-3)

SC
October 8-11
782 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%

Changes with September 23-28 poll (that was marked as partisan and this one isn't)

Trump 52% (+5)
Biden 43% (n/c)
Jorgensen 1% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Not sure/don't know 4% (-4)
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2020, 07:14:30 PM »

I though Trump was down 7 in Georgia?

These sort of punchy memes only work when people here buy into it. But hardly anyone believed that poll so this does not really translate into a roast.
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Questionable Intent
Adam Griffin
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« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2020, 07:20:29 PM »

If national polls are generally accurate and this is shaping up to be a walloping, then it's very unlikely that SC will be 9 points to the right of GA: 3-5 points is more likely.
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Hammy
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2020, 08:34:09 PM »

GA poll is too low to really tell us anything as neither are getting less than 48%. However Biden outperforming Hillary in SC goes against the narrative that black voters aren't going to vote for him.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2020, 09:43:25 PM »

New Poll: Georgia President by Data 4 Progress on 2020-10-11

Summary: D: 46%, R: 46%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #11 on: October 14, 2020, 09:44:45 PM »

New Poll: South Carolina President by Data 4 Progress on 2020-10-11

Summary: D: 43%, R: 52%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2020, 04:58:12 AM »

GA is a tossup race but the SC race is a bit too pro-Trump. It's not going to shift only 5% from 2016.
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DS0816
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« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2020, 05:34:30 AM »

I donít buy into these numbers.
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