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October 19, 2020, 11:05:13 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE, ON Progressive)
  Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +4 in AZ, +2 in FL
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Author Topic: Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +4 in AZ, +2 in FL  (Read 554 times)
VARepublican
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« on: October 14, 2020, 04:20:47 PM »

Oct 7-14

AZ (667 LV, MoE: 4%)
Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 46%

FL (653 LV, MoE: 4%)
Biden 49%
Trump 47% (+2)

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-battlegrounds-poll-idUSKBN26Z30H
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Beida
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2020, 04:23:10 PM »

AZ looks about right. FL is still a tossup.
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You Reap What You Sow
Rafe
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2020, 04:25:22 PM »



M A R I C O P A   J O E
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2020, 04:25:57 PM »

Good stuff
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Beida
redjohn
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2020, 04:30:26 PM »

Biden having such consistent leads in AZ makes me feel more confident in the final result. Highly unlikely we have giant polling errors in both AZ and another midwestern state Biden is strongly leading in.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2020, 04:30:57 PM »


I think you mean

A R I - J O E - N A
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2020, 04:36:03 PM »

Man Florida must really like Trump for Biden to not gain much
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2020, 04:39:38 PM »

I do wish Biden was performing a bit better in these 2 states, especially FL, in this sort of national environment. FL and TX both being 8 points or so to the right of the country would be terrible for Democrats because they would give Rs a big boost in the EC.
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Skye
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« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2020, 04:46:42 PM »

I do wish Biden was performing a bit better in these 2 states, especially FL, in this sort of national environment. FL and TX both being 8 points or so to the right of the country would be terrible for Democrats because they would give Rs a big boost in the EC.

TX was 11 points to the right of the nation in 2016, and this year there's a good chance that might not be the case so I don't think 8 points that big of a deal.
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darthpi
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2020, 04:49:12 PM »

Closer than I'd like to see in Florida, but into the average it goes.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2020, 04:58:05 PM »

AZ
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w3_10_14_2020_1.pdf

MoE: 4.3% for likely voters
Changes with September 29-October 7

Biden 50% (+2)
Trump 46% (n/c)
Some other candidate 2% (n/c)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)
Not sure 3% (-1)

FL
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_florida_state_poll_w3_10_14_2020_.pdf

MoE: 4.4%
Changes with September 29-October 6

Biden 49% (n/c)
Trump 47% (+2)
Some other candidate 1% (n/c)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)
Not sure 3% (-2)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #11 on: October 14, 2020, 06:56:01 PM »

Five way ballots:

AZ
Biden 49
Trump 47
Jorgensen 1
Some other candidate 1
Would not vote 1
Hawkins 0
West 0

FL
Biden 50
Trump 47
Some other candidate 2
Hawkins 0
Jorgensen 0
West 0
Would not vote 0
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Hammy
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« Reply #12 on: October 14, 2020, 07:09:37 PM »

Closer than I'd like to see in Florida, but into the average it goes.

My take on Florida is basically ignore the polls, it'll land where it lands.
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Kansas City Suburbanite for Orman-Clinton-Kelly For Marshall
Zyzz
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« Reply #13 on: October 14, 2020, 07:43:22 PM »


Jacksonville Joe.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #14 on: October 14, 2020, 08:38:21 PM »

Reuters/Ipsos polls have not been kind to Biden... but the +4 in Arizona is at the margin of error. It is hard to see how Trump wins without Arizona -- let alone Florida. (538 yesterday gave Trump 13 chances out of 100 for winning, none involving Arizona or Florida as Trump wins).
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tenyasha
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« Reply #15 on: October 14, 2020, 08:39:59 PM »

so will Arizona be the left of Florida it looks like?
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #16 on: October 14, 2020, 08:41:43 PM »

Reuters/Ipsos polls have not been kind to Biden... but the +4 in Arizona is at the margin of error. It is hard to see how Trump wins without Arizona -- let alone Florida. (538 yesterday gave Trump 13 chances out of 100 for winning, none involving Arizona or Florida as Trump wins).

Trump would need to replace Arizona with Nevada.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #17 on: October 14, 2020, 09:35:41 PM »

New Poll: Arizona President by Ipsos on 2020-10-14

Summary: D: 50%, R: 46%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Lief 🐋
Lief
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« Reply #18 on: October 14, 2020, 09:36:24 PM »

New Poll: Florida President by Ipsos on 2020-10-14

Summary: D: 49%, R: 47%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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