AK-AL - Alaska Survey Research: Galvin +2
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  AK-AL - Alaska Survey Research: Galvin +2
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Author Topic: AK-AL - Alaska Survey Research: Galvin +2  (Read 1163 times)
LimoLiberal
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« on: October 07, 2020, 12:10:02 PM »

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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2020, 12:17:43 PM »

Undecided 6% according to the account where the other #s were released

They didn't poll this race previously
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2020, 12:28:41 PM »

Eh we’ve seen this multiple times here.  I’ve lost count of the times Don Young has trailed in polls and then went on to win.
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Pollster
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« Reply #3 on: October 07, 2020, 12:29:43 PM »

I've also become wary of polls showing Young trailing, but it's definitely interesting that Galvin is leading despite the rest of the Dem ticket trailing in the same poll.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4 on: October 07, 2020, 03:26:03 PM »

Eh we’ve seen this multiple times here.  I’ve lost count of the times Don Young has trailed in polls and then went on to win.

Agreed. Don Young will be in the House until he is carried out in a gurney. He will not lose, even if Dan Sullivan goes down to Al Gross.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #5 on: October 07, 2020, 07:09:30 PM »

Eh we’ve seen this multiple times here.  I’ve lost count of the times Don Young has trailed in polls and then went on to win.

Agreed. Don Young will be in the House until he is carried out in a gurney. He will not lose, even if Dan Sullivan goes down to Al Gross.

I read this as "goes down on" at first. Ew!
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: October 07, 2020, 07:13:35 PM »

Eh we’ve seen this multiple times here.  I’ve lost count of the times Don Young has trailed in polls and then went on to win.

Agreed. Don Young will be in the House until he is carried out in a gurney. He will not lose, even if Dan Sullivan goes down to Al Gross.

I read this as "goes down on" at first. Ew!

Gross
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MRS DONNA SHALALA
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« Reply #7 on: October 07, 2020, 07:30:01 PM »

Eh we’ve seen this multiple times here.  I’ve lost count of the times Don Young has trailed in polls and then went on to win.

Agreed. Don Young will be in the House until he is carried out in a gurney. He will not lose, even if Dan Sullivan goes down to Al Gross.

I read this as "goes down on" at first. Ew!

gives new meaning to the phrase "blowing a race"
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GALeftist
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« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2020, 07:36:44 PM »

Good news for Gross, I suppose. I really doubt Young gets taken out, but I hope I'm proven wrong.
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Andy Hine
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« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2020, 10:35:54 PM »

Eh we’ve seen this multiple times here.  I’ve lost count of the times Don Young has trailed in polls and then went on to win.

Agreed. Don Young will be in the House until he is carried out in a gurney. He will not lose, even if Dan Sullivan goes down to Al Gross.

Everything is true until it isn't.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: October 07, 2020, 11:04:06 PM »

Agreed. Don Young will be in the House until he is carried out in a gurney. He will not lose, even if Dan Sullivan goes down to Al Gross.

Young did worse than Dunleavy in 2018 and is doing six points worse (in terms of margin) than Sullivan in this poll, so it’s not exactly impossible for him to lose while Sullivan wins narrowly, especially in a massive Democratic wave.
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AndyHogan14
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« Reply #11 on: October 07, 2020, 11:39:36 PM »

While I don't see Young losing, if the Democrats win this seat, it could be huge in the event of the presidential race tightening. Winning the Alaska seat (or Montana) would deny the Republicans a majority of state delegations in the House (if everything else stays the same) which would be crucial in the event of an electoral tie. With that said, if the presidential race tightens to the point that we get a tie, then it is likely Democrats are not knocking off Young, but might as well make an effort!
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #12 on: October 07, 2020, 11:54:22 PM »

Agreed. Don Young will be in the House until he is carried out in a gurney. He will not lose, even if Dan Sullivan goes down to Al Gross.

Young did worse than Dunleavy in 2018 and is doing six points worse (in terms of margin) than Sullivan in this poll, so it’s not exactly impossible for him to lose while Sullivan wins narrowly, especially in a massive Democratic wave.

Yes, it's possible for Young to lose, but I personally doubt it, given that he survived both 2008 and 2018. If he did lose, he would be the first Dean in almost ninety years to lose a general election, since Gilbert N. Haugen was swept out of office in Roosevelt's 1932 landslide.
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Andy Hine
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« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2020, 12:13:46 AM »

Agreed. Don Young will be in the House until he is carried out in a gurney. He will not lose, even if Dan Sullivan goes down to Al Gross.

Young did worse than Dunleavy in 2018 and is doing six points worse (in terms of margin) than Sullivan in this poll, so it’s not exactly impossible for him to lose while Sullivan wins narrowly, especially in a massive Democratic wave.

Yes, it's possible for Young to lose, but I personally doubt it, given that he survived both 2008 and 2018. If he did lose, he would be the first Dean in almost ninety years to lose a general election, since Gilbert N. Haugen was swept out of office in Roosevelt's 1932 landslide.

What's your point?
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2020, 12:19:51 AM »

Agreed. Don Young will be in the House until he is carried out in a gurney. He will not lose, even if Dan Sullivan goes down to Al Gross.

Young did worse than Dunleavy in 2018 and is doing six points worse (in terms of margin) than Sullivan in this poll, so it’s not exactly impossible for him to lose while Sullivan wins narrowly, especially in a massive Democratic wave.

Yes, it's possible for Young to lose, but I personally doubt it, given that he survived both 2008 and 2018. If he did lose, he would be the first Dean in almost ninety years to lose a general election, since Gilbert N. Haugen was swept out of office in Roosevelt's 1932 landslide.

What's your point?

What do you mean? I'm not going to rule out the possibility of Young losing-I'm just expressing my personal opinion that he won't. And I was reflecting on an interesting fact-this is an Elections Board after all, where we can share and muse over such information.
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Andy Hine
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« Reply #15 on: October 14, 2020, 09:02:55 PM »

Agreed. Don Young will be in the House until he is carried out in a gurney. He will not lose, even if Dan Sullivan goes down to Al Gross.

Young did worse than Dunleavy in 2018 and is doing six points worse (in terms of margin) than Sullivan in this poll, so it’s not exactly impossible for him to lose while Sullivan wins narrowly, especially in a massive Democratic wave.

Yes, it's possible for Young to lose, but I personally doubt it, given that he survived both 2008 and 2018. If he did lose, he would be the first Dean in almost ninety years to lose a general election, since Gilbert N. Haugen was swept out of office in Roosevelt's 1932 landslide.

What's your point?

What do you mean? I'm not going to rule out the possibility of Young losing-I'm just expressing my personal opinion that he won't. And I was reflecting on an interesting fact-this is an Elections Board after all, where we can share and muse over such information.

Oh, just making sure
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #16 on: October 14, 2020, 09:41:35 PM »

Isn't Alaska the opposite of Nevada in that polls regularly over state Democrats strength for some reasons?
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