Quinnipiac: Biden +7 in GA, +1 in OH (user search)
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  Quinnipiac: Biden +7 in GA, +1 in OH (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Biden +7 in GA, +1 in OH  (Read 6331 times)
Malarkey Decider
Jr. Member
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Posts: 366
United States


« on: October 14, 2020, 01:27:35 PM »

I wish those Georgia numbers were true, but I sincerely doubt it. Still probably lean Biden at this point.

Can anyone suggest from the crosstabs why the number might be a bit optimistic for Biden? Or is it more likely just an issue of m o e?

I don't think the numbers are really that outlier-ish. Biden is getting 36% of Whites and 89% of Blacks. If anything, he could do a few % better with blacks in the end, and given Biden's strength with White voters, 36% doesn't seem like that *much* of a stretch.
Biden will not get anywhere close to 36% with GA whites. Max for him is like 32, he only needs like 29% to win.
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