If you believe Georgia's number here and not Trafalgar's Florida poll (and vice-versa) you are a hack.
The thing is, the Trafalgar Florida poll is perfectly in line with Florida being a tossup state and possibly even a low-single-digits lead for Biden. There's pretty much no way to read this Quinnipiac poll as anything but "Biden is up in Georgia" or "the poll is completely wrong in every regard." I don't think he'll win by 7 and I still have Georgia going to Trump in my prediction map, but I'd argue there's much more reason to take this poll as solid evidence of Georgia moving in Biden's favor than to use the Trafalgar poll as evidence of Florida moving to Trump when both are within in the margin of error with the polling consensus of a small Biden lead in each state.
