NH-UNH: Sununu +25
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  NH-UNH: Sununu +25
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Author Topic: NH-UNH: Sununu +25  (Read 950 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 14, 2020, 11:38:37 AM »

Sununu 62%
Fetus 37%

https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/619/
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2020, 11:39:06 AM »

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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2020, 11:47:46 AM »

October 9-12
899 likely voters
MoE: 3.3%
Changes with September 24-28

Sununu 62% (+8)
Feltes 37% (+2)
Perry (L) 0% (but some voters) (-1)
Other 0% (but some voters) (-1)
Don't know/not sure 1% (-8)
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2020, 11:48:43 AM »

Sununu surge!
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gracile
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2020, 11:54:57 AM »


I don't think a lot of people thought this race was going to tighten significantly.
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2020, 11:55:34 AM »


https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=401948.0
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2020, 11:56:40 AM »


I'll own up to it. I thought of the race as safe R but that it was more likely than not that the Democratic nominee would reduce their margin of defeat somewhat as we drew closer to election day.
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gracile
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2020, 11:59:17 AM »


Nearly half of the posts in that thread are people expressing skepticism of that poll/still express the sense that Sununu is significantly favored (olawakandi aside).
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Mr.Barkari Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2020, 12:36:19 PM »


ARG was very accurate in 2018, with NH, but Sununu beat Molly Kelly not Feltes, whom is a downgrade. ARG showed Feltes down by 8, but it was an outlier
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Figueira
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2020, 07:20:42 PM »

Sununu is one of the most overrated governors in the country.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2020, 07:36:25 PM »

There’s a big difference between gubernatorial and Senate elections in blue (Democratic) states, but there’s no way a 2022 Senate race with Sununu would be any worse than a Tossup for Republicans.
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Figueira
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« Reply #11 on: October 14, 2020, 07:47:08 PM »

There’s a big difference between gubernatorial and Senate elections in blue (Democratic) states, but there’s no way a 2022 Senate race with Sununu would be any worse than a Tossup for Republicans.

Agreed, though Hassan will probably be a strong incumbent. Definitely a race to watch if he runs.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2020, 08:00:57 AM »

New Poll: New Hampshire Governor by University of New Hampshire on 2020-10-12

Summary: D: 37%, R: 62%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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