Florida (Trafalgar): Trump +2 (user search)
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  Florida (Trafalgar): Trump +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Florida (Trafalgar): Trump +2  (Read 2113 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 9,776


« on: October 14, 2020, 11:27:36 AM »

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Qu-33_lbge1B0e2q1viGRZzVQpQkFqSq/view

October 11-13
1051 likely voters
MoE: 2.94%
Changes with September 1-3 poll
Trends and margin (still Trump +2%) calculated pre-rounding

Trump 48% (n/c)
Biden 46% (+1)
Jorgensen 2% (n/c)
Someone else 1% (n/c from "Another Party Candidate" at 1%)
Hawkins 1% (not included in previous poll)
Undecided 2% (-1)

Re: FL's RMG poll, we again see a Trafalgar poll closely mirroring an RMG 'high Republican turnout' scenario:

FL, RMG Republican turnout, October 4-8: Trump 47, Biden 46
From October 8 to October 13, the 538 FL average shifted 0.1% to Trump.
FL, Trafalgar, October 11-13: Trump 48, Biden 46
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