It’s really hard to convince myself Trump has this state locked up when Rassy and Susquehanna can’t even find leads for him.
That's because he doesn't. He almost locked out.
I agree. Neither candidate is really that favored in FL or NC in my opinion. The polls do show that the races are tossups, and we won't know who is favored until most of the votes are reporting in both states.
The polls don't show FL as a tossup, it's just that people (myself included) are distrustful of Democratic prospects in Florida for other reasons.
You're right. NC is strange though. Clinton led nearly all of the high-quality polls there and yet Trump won by 4. I'll believe it flipping when I see it.
She also concentrated a lot of her campaign on NC; they saw it as insurance for if OH+IA slipped through the cracks. Little did they know.
This is no more strange than WI flipping after not a single poll showed Trump ahead.
