LA-Trafalgar: Trump +18
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Author Topic: LA-Trafalgar: Trump +18  (Read 876 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 14, 2020, 08:43:09 AM »
Oct 4-6, 1048 LV, MoE: 3%

Trump 54%
Biden 36% (-2)
Jorgensen 3%
Undecided 7%

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1jcW2ZbuDoGIGuGBZK330S9rC02fQeofz/view
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2020, 08:44:54 AM »
More or less the same margin as in 2012 and 2016, which given that it's Trashlolgar probably means Trump is on track to carry the state by about as much as Dubya 2004.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2020, 08:53:36 AM »
Changes with August 13-17 poll
Margin remains +18% when calculated pre-rounding. Pre-rounding trends are below:

Trump 54% (n/c)
Biden 36% (-2)
Jorgensen 3% (+1)
Another Party Candidate 1% (n/c)
Undecided 6% (+1)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2020, 08:56:24 AM »
Gov. Rispone (R) approves of this poll.
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Buzz
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2020, 09:00:38 AM »
Thank you Louisiana, I will never forget.
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DINGO Joe
dingojoe
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2020, 09:25:39 AM »
Quote from: Buzz on October 14, 2020, 09:00:38 AM
Thank you Louisiana, I will never forget.

Just stay out of New Orleans
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2020, 09:30:40 AM »
I don't rate this pollster very well at all but I still hope they polled the Senate race.

We are otherwise stuck with just a Democratic internal and that one bizarre Koch brothers poll that didn't weight by education and suggested the deep south was trending D.
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tenyasha
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2020, 11:07:34 PM »
Well its better than no poll right? But still it seems random that trafalgar would poll Louisana for a presidental election
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2020, 11:08:59 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on October 14, 2020, 09:30:40 AM
I don't rate this pollster very well at all but I still hope they polled the Senate race.

We are otherwise stuck with just a Democratic internal and that one bizarre Koch brothers poll that didn't weight by education and suggested the deep south was trending D.

Maybe if JBE runs for Senate one day.
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tenyasha
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2020, 11:14:45 PM »
 I dont think Edwards would win for the same reason Bredesen or Nagle didnt win. Partisanship on the national level in America is too high for even popular governors of the opposite party unless we have a roy moore scenario.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #10 on: October 15, 2020, 08:53:44 AM »
Does 112% sound like a reasonable expectation of how Trafalgar would predict hos Wyoming goes?
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #11 on: October 16, 2020, 12:16:53 PM »
New Poll: Louisiana President by Trafalgar Group on 2020-10-06

Summary: D: 36%, R: 54%, U: 7%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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