MI: EPIC/MRA: Biden +9 (user search)
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  MI: EPIC/MRA: Biden +9 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI: EPIC/MRA: Biden +9  (Read 1226 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: October 14, 2020, 06:32:30 AM »

New Poll: Michigan President by EPIC/MRA on 2020-10-12

Summary: D: 48%, R: 39%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,178
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2020, 06:40:44 AM »

There's no excuse to have this many undecideds with under 3 weeks to go. Nice for Biden I guess, but this looks way too much like a 2016 poll.

Explanation:

Quote
Independents are wildly unsettled: This poll groups Democratic-leaning independents and Republican-leaning independents with those parties, since they tend to vote with them consistently, leaving only about 11% true nonpartisan independents.

But that group appeared unsettled in this poll, favoring Trump 30%-21% but with a huge number, 49%, either backing a third party candidate (15%) or undecided (34%). That's not great news for either candidate since both are well known.

But EPIC-MRA's pollster, Bernie Porn, said doling them out based on which candidates they graded more favorably, it looks as though if they were to choose, each candidate could win about 2 percentage points more.

Also, as with the previous entry, any time a sample size is smaller than the overall sample, the margin of error would be higher. It should be noted, however, that if this group, or any group with high undecideds, broke heavily for one candidate or another, it could be a game changer.
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