MI/NC-Reuters/Ipsos: Peters +8, Cunningham +4
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  MI/NC-Reuters/Ipsos: Peters +8, Cunningham +4
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Author Topic: MI/NC-Reuters/Ipsos: Peters +8, Cunningham +4  (Read 1294 times)
ON Progressive
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 13, 2020, 03:20:53 PM »

MI:
Peters (D-inc) 52
James (R) 44

NC:
Cunningham (D) 46
Tillis (R-inc) 42

https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-ELECTION/BATTLEGROUNDS/nmopawwakpa/index.html
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2020, 03:21:49 PM »

Huge sigh of relief
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2020, 03:24:03 PM »


Tillis has Covid, that's why he is behind
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Person Man
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2020, 03:25:46 PM »


He's objectively a dirtier person despite everything else.
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MRS DONNA SHALALA
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2020, 03:36:16 PM »

It really does seem like James' ceiling is low-to-mid 40's.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2020, 03:41:24 PM »

MI
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_michigan_state_poll_w3_10_13_2020.pdf

October 7-13
620 likely voters
MoE: 4.5% for likely voters
Changes with September 29 - October 6

Peters 52% (+2)
James 44% (+1)
Some other candidate 2% (-1)
Would not vote 0% (-1)
Not sure/prefer not to answer 2% (-1)

NC
https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_north_carolina_state_poll_w3_10_13_20.pdf

October 7-13
660 likely voters
MoE: 4.3% for likely voters
Changes with September 29 - October 6

Cunningham 46% (-1)
Tillis 42% (n/c)
Some other candidate 5% (+1)
Would not vote 0% (n/c)
Not sure/prefer not to answer 7% (n/c)
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2020, 03:44:26 PM »

Hopefully this ends the MI and NC-Sen scares
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2020, 04:02:46 PM »

Want to see more polls, but I think it's looking like Cunningham and Peters are still favored, which shouldn't be surprising. Winning in this kind of environment (these races would probably be looking quite different in a neutral environment) was never going to be easy for James or Tillis.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2020, 04:10:25 PM »

Bummer that we won't get five pages of dog sweat for this Michigan poll.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2020, 04:15:29 PM »

My longest yeah boi ever
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2020, 04:26:13 PM »

Hopefully this ends the MI and NC-Sen scares

Yeah Tillis within the margin of error of 4 points really has 0 chance, that's why we have IA and GA as wave insurance
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2020, 06:06:49 PM »

Can we calm down now? Actually Peters may have benefited from that +1 Siena poll. Just check out this tweet:

https://twitter.com/brianschatz/status/1315787739686555649?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%22%3EOctober%2012%2C%202020

I hope this doesn't come at the expense of Democratic candidates who need it more though.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2020, 07:28:00 PM »

Clear outlier. No way Peters is up 8. This race is close. If James outperforms with AAs he wins.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2020, 07:33:03 PM »

Clear outlier. No way Peters is up 8. This race is close. If James outperforms with AAs he wins.

Ah, thank you. Now I know for sure Peters is up.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2020, 09:09:55 PM »

Thank goodness we have this poll. I was trying to panic about both MI-Sen and ME-Sen for a second there. Anyone have any suggestions about what to start panicking about once the next poll inevitably shows Gideon with a healthy lead?
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GALeftist
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« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2020, 10:53:00 PM »

This will be an amusing thread to peruse mid-November
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #16 on: October 14, 2020, 02:55:18 AM »
« Edited: October 14, 2020, 02:58:48 AM by EastOfEden »

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Virginiá
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« Reply #17 on: October 15, 2020, 01:51:25 PM »

Cleaned thread

Stop having we'll win / you'll lose arguments with SN. It's pointless and clutters up threads.
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SN2903
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #18 on: October 16, 2020, 05:01:25 PM »

Clear outlier. No way Peters is up 8. This race is close. If James outperforms with AAs he wins.

Ah, thank you. Now I know for sure Peters is up.
Peters will lose
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #19 on: October 20, 2020, 11:49:44 PM »

New Poll: Michigan Senator by Ipsos on 2020-10-13

Summary: D: 52%, R: 44%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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