North Carolina (Monmouth): Biden +3 (user search)
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  North Carolina (Monmouth): Biden +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: North Carolina (Monmouth): Biden +3  (Read 1765 times)
Gass3268
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« on: October 13, 2020, 10:05:33 AM »

Good to see Biden expand his lead here, Tilt Biden.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2020, 11:13:06 AM »

Can somebody with a better understanding of North Carolina than myself tell how much the statewide candidates would need to win by to flip the legislature?

North Carolina is gerrymandered to hell, so the best we can hope for is to block the GOP from getting a veto proof majority in at least one chamber.  The GOP would need 7 seats in the NC House and 1 seat in the NC Senate I believe.  Unfortunately, I believe that redistricting in NC is controlled by the legislature(Gov. cannot veto maps), so until we pack the federal courts and overturn the Common Cause decision, not much will change.

If Democrats keep control of the NCSC they'll have some voice in the process.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2020, 12:29:30 PM »

Can somebody with a better understanding of North Carolina than myself tell how much the statewide candidates would need to win by to flip the legislature?

North Carolina is gerrymandered to hell, so the best we can hope for is to block the GOP from getting a veto proof majority in at least one chamber.  The GOP would need 7 seats in the NC House and 1 seat in the NC Senate I believe.  Unfortunately, I believe that redistricting in NC is controlled by the legislature(Gov. cannot veto maps), so until we pack the federal courts and overturn the Common Cause decision, not much will change.

If Democrats keep control of the NCSC they'll have some voice in the process.

They are guaranteed to keep control for 2 more years.  It's currently 6D/1R, but the R is in 1 of the 3 seats up this year, so even in the best case for the NC GOP, the court would be 4D/3R until the end of 2022. 

Yeah, and if the top of the ticket Democrats are polling as well as they are now I expect the Democrats to keep the current margin or even go to 7-0.
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