22 (mostly suburban) Texas State House Districts - Reform Austin: Trump leads in most districts
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Author Topic: 22 (mostly suburban) Texas State House Districts - Reform Austin: Trump leads in most districts  (Read 482 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 13, 2020, 04:01:36 PM »
https://www.reformaustin.org/elections/ra-news-polling-texas-house-flip-likely-abbott-approval-declining-trump-slipping-in-suburbs/

At least 400 likely voters per district
MoE: 4.89% per district



Biden leads in 9 districts
One is tied
Trump leads in 12 districts
Released October 9
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2020, 04:05:19 PM »
How many actually voted for Trump before?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2020, 04:07:28 PM »

I'm not sure about that, but Republicans held 17 of these after the 2018 elections and Democrats held only 5.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2020, 04:08:42 PM »
Quote from: TiltsAreUnderrated on October 13, 2020, 04:07:28 PM

I'm not sure about that, but Republicans held 17 of these after the 2018 elections and Democrats held only 5.

It fits the narrative of a Likely R situation becoming a Tilt R situation, even compared to 2018. In reality, this election will either be 2016 or 2018.
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kireev
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2020, 04:13:05 PM »
It's actually not that great poll for Biden. On average it's a 4.2 point swing from 2016 - not even close to flipping the state.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2020, 04:47:39 PM »
Lol Trump +10 in Chen Button’s while simultaneously down in Shaheen’s Collin County seat. Toss these right in the trash
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