WPA/LVRJ/AARP - NV: Biden +2
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  WPA/LVRJ/AARP - NV: Biden +2		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: WPA/LVRJ/AARP - NV: Biden +2  (Read 1908 times)
BigSerg
7sergi9
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« on: October 13, 2020, 09:34:46 AM »
« edited: October 13, 2020, 09:46:12 AM by YE »
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Woody
SirWoodbury
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2020, 09:35:22 AM »
Toss up.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2020, 09:36:36 AM »
Given that Nevada polls consistently underestimate Democrats here, and that this was Hillary Clinton's margin of victory in the state back in 2016, Biden is probably up by anywhere from mid-single digits to low double digits at this stage. This is so, because we've had other polls showing him leading by as much as 5-7%. At any rate, Nevada is Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean, and is out of reach for Trump at this point.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2020, 09:40:07 AM »
Given that 1) This is an R internal, and 2) NV is notoriously difficult to poll Dems...this is good news for Biden.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2020, 09:40:32 AM »
WPA lol
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Rand
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2020, 09:41:00 AM »
Trump @ 42. Sad.
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Gracile
gracile
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2020, 09:46:04 AM »
So really like Biden +7, right?
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YE
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2020, 09:46:35 AM »
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2020, 09:49:58 AM »
Quote from: YE on October 13, 2020, 09:46:35 AM


LOL, so even with Adelson's thumb on the scale, the best they could come up with is Biden +2.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2020, 09:57:17 AM »
512 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%

None of these candidate 4%
Don't know/no response 6%
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2020, 10:13:17 AM »
New Poll: Nevada President by WPA Intelligence on 2020-10-11

Summary: D: 44%, R: 42%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Pollster
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« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2020, 11:08:17 AM »
It's a really good thing there isn't a Senate race in Nevada this cycle for this board to panic about.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2020, 11:16:07 AM »
D's underpolling in NV, we all know very well how this ends up
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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2020, 11:31:47 AM »
I wonder how much NV will be affected by the massive unemployment numbers (13% last time I checked) and potential exodus from Las Vegas.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2020, 01:05:15 PM »
Lol, we've seen this movie 100x.

Just like how Dean Heller was supposed to win the state yet lost horribly?
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VAR
VARepublican
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« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2020, 01:07:02 PM »
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Yoda
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« Reply #16 on: October 13, 2020, 04:25:30 PM »
Yeh....this is a junk Adelson poll for his propaganda outlet.

I'm not usually one for discarding polls I don't like, but we can safely throw this in the trash.
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Alben Barkley
KYWildman
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« Reply #17 on: October 13, 2020, 04:25:51 PM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on October 13, 2020, 09:36:36 AM
Given that Nevada polls consistently underestimate Democrats here, and that this was Hillary Clinton's margin of victory in the state back in 2016, Biden is probably up by anywhere from mid-single digits to low double digits at this stage. This is so, because we've had other polls showing him leading by as much as 5-7%. At any rate, Nevada is Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean, and is out of reach for Trump at this point.

Fox poll had him up double digits...
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2020, 06:14:43 PM »
Nope. Multiply this by at least three and then we'll talk.
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