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October 24, 2020, 12:50:07 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE, ON Progressive)
  WPA/LVRJ/AARP - NV: Biden +2
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Author Topic: WPA/LVRJ/AARP - NV: Biden +2  (Read 723 times)
7sergi9
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« on: October 13, 2020, 09:34:46 AM »
« edited: October 13, 2020, 09:46:12 AM by YE »

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SirWoodbury
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2020, 09:35:22 AM »

Toss up.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2020, 09:36:36 AM »

Given that Nevada polls consistently underestimate Democrats here, and that this was Hillary Clinton's margin of victory in the state back in 2016, Biden is probably up by anywhere from mid-single digits to low double digits at this stage. This is so, because we've had other polls showing him leading by as much as 5-7%. At any rate, Nevada is Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean, and is out of reach for Trump at this point.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2020, 09:40:07 AM »

Given that 1) This is an R internal, and 2) NV is notoriously difficult to poll Dems...this is good news for Biden.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2020, 09:40:32 AM »

WPA lol
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You Reap What You Sow
Rafe
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2020, 09:41:00 AM »

Trump @ 42. Sad.
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gracile
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2020, 09:46:04 AM »

So really like Biden +7, right?
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YE
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2020, 09:46:35 AM »

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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2020, 09:49:58 AM »



LOL, so even with Adelson's thumb on the scale, the best they could come up with is Biden +2.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2020, 09:57:17 AM »

512 likely voters
MoE: 4.4%

None of these candidate 4%
Don't know/no response 6%
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2020, 10:13:17 AM »

New Poll: Nevada President by WPA Intelligence on 2020-10-11

Summary: D: 44%, R: 42%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Pollster
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« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2020, 11:08:17 AM »

It's a really good thing there isn't a Senate race in Nevada this cycle for this board to panic about.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2020, 11:16:07 AM »

D's underpolling in NV, we all know very well how this ends up
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RoboWop
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2020, 11:31:47 AM »

I wonder how much NV will be affected by the massive unemployment numbers (13% last time I checked) and potential exodus from Las Vegas.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2020, 01:05:15 PM »

Lol, we've seen this movie 100x.

Just like how Dean Heller was supposed to win the state yet lost horribly?
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Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds
VARepublican
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« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2020, 01:07:02 PM »

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Yoda
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« Reply #16 on: October 13, 2020, 04:25:30 PM »

Yeh....this is a junk Adelson poll for his propaganda outlet.

I'm not usually one for discarding polls I don't like, but we can safely throw this in the trash.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #17 on: October 13, 2020, 04:25:51 PM »

Given that Nevada polls consistently underestimate Democrats here, and that this was Hillary Clinton's margin of victory in the state back in 2016, Biden is probably up by anywhere from mid-single digits to low double digits at this stage. This is so, because we've had other polls showing him leading by as much as 5-7%. At any rate, Nevada is Likely D, closer to Safe than Lean, and is out of reach for Trump at this point.

Fox poll had him up double digits...
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2020, 06:14:43 PM »

Nope. Multiply this by at least three and then we'll talk.
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