IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll thread: Biden +4, Biden +5 in head-to-head
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  IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll thread: Biden +4, Biden +5 in head-to-head		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll thread: Biden +4, Biden +5 in head-to-head  (Read 9405 times)
bilaps
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« Reply #75 on: October 22, 2020, 08:27:53 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 22, 2020, 08:17:07 AM
Quote from: Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds on October 22, 2020, 08:10:50 AM
Biden +5

Biden 50% (+1)
Trump 45% (-1)
Jorgensen 3% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)

H2H: Biden +4

Biden 50% (+1)
Trump 46% (-1)

*watches the "it's tightening!" crowd slowly deflate*

Also it's junk crowd.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #76 on: October 22, 2020, 08:38:52 AM »
Pre-rounding changes and margins:

Biden +5%
Biden 50% (+1)
Trump 45% (-1)
Jorgensen 3% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Not sure 1% (n/c)

Head-to-head:

Biden +4%
Biden 50% (+1)
Trump 46% (-1)
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #77 on: October 23, 2020, 08:06:49 AM »
Biden +5
Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 45% (n/c)
Jorgensen 2% (-1)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)

H2H: Biden +4
Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 46% (n/c)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #78 on: October 23, 2020, 09:15:42 AM »
Pre-rounding changes:

Biden +5%
Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 45% (+1)
Jorgensen 2% (-1)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Not sure 1% (n/c)

Head-to-head:

Biden +4%
Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 46% (n/c)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #79 on: October 24, 2020, 08:09:00 AM »
Pre-rounding changes:

Biden +6%
Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 44% (-1)
Jorgensen 2% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Not sure 0% (but some voters) (n/c)

Head-to-head:

Biden +6%
Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 45% (-1)
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Brittain33
brittain33
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« Reply #80 on: October 24, 2020, 08:20:19 AM »
Debate bump!!!
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #81 on: October 24, 2020, 12:44:34 PM »

I'm guessing they'll herd to whatever the consensus is on election day.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #82 on: October 24, 2020, 01:03:54 PM »
Quote from: TheLaRocca on October 24, 2020, 12:44:34 PM

I'm guessing they'll herd to whatever the consensus is on election day.

Made this prediction earlier in the week, totally agree.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #83 on: October 24, 2020, 01:06:04 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 24, 2020, 01:03:54 PM
Quote from: TheLaRocca on October 24, 2020, 12:44:34 PM

I'm guessing they'll herd to whatever the consensus is on election day.

Made this prediction earlier in the week, totally agree.

they all herd to around Biden by 7 or something. These people do NOT want to be wrong.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #84 on: October 24, 2020, 07:25:01 PM »
Is there a reason IDB/TIPP has been consistently weaker for Biden?
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #85 on: October 24, 2020, 07:49:35 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on October 24, 2020, 07:25:01 PM
Is there a reason IDB/TIPP has been consistently weaker for Biden?

They had

Trump +1 last time
Obama +1

there not a bad pollster...just 2-3% more favorable to Democrats...there like ABC (3% more favorable to the Democrats).

Average them and dornsfire (more pro-Biden) and that's the national margin. But I find it interesting basically all the national polls have Biden at 51 to 52%. Its gonna herd even more.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #86 on: October 25, 2020, 12:54:35 PM »
Biden 52 (+1)
Trump 44
Jorgensen 2
Hawkins 1

Biden 51
Trump 45
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EJ24
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« Reply #87 on: October 25, 2020, 01:00:30 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on October 25, 2020, 12:54:35 PM
Biden 52 (+1)
Trump 44
Jorgensen 2
Hawkins 1

Biden 51
Trump 45

BEAUTIFUL NUMBERS, Biden over 50
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #88 on: October 25, 2020, 01:16:38 PM »
Let's hope IBD/TIPP does the classy thing here now and apologizes for the disgusting outliers they released last week. These guys are absolute pros, so I trust they will.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #89 on: October 25, 2020, 01:40:43 PM »
Pre-rounding changes:

Biden +7
Biden 52% (+1)
Trump 44% (n/c)
Jorgensen 2% (-1)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Not sure 0% (but some voters) (n/c)

Head-to-head:

Biden +7%
Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 45% (-1)
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #90 on: October 26, 2020, 08:07:58 AM »
Biden +7
Biden 52% (n/c)
Trump 45% (+1)
Jorgensen 1% (-1)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Not sure 1% (+1)

H2H: Biden +7
Biden 52% (+1)
Trump 45% (n/c)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #91 on: October 26, 2020, 08:20:08 AM »
Pre-rounding changes:

Biden +7
Biden 52% (n/c)
Trump 45% (n/c)
Jorgensen 1% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Not sure 0% (but some voters) (n/c)

Head-to-head:

Biden +7%
Biden 52% (n/c)
Trump 45% (n/c)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #92 on: October 27, 2020, 09:04:43 AM »
Pre-rounding changes:

Biden +4
Biden 51% (-1)
Trump 46% (+2)
Jorgensen 1% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Not sure 0% (but some voters) (n/c)

Head-to-head:

Biden +5%
Biden 50% (-1)
Trump 46% (+1)
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Buzz
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« Reply #93 on: October 27, 2020, 09:07:02 AM »
Figured they were moving to the average, but I suppose that will be delayed till next week.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #94 on: October 28, 2020, 08:11:53 AM »
Pre-Rounding changes:

Biden +5
Biden 50% (-1)
Trump 45% (-1)
Jorgensen 2% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Not sure 0% (but some voters) (n/c)

Head-to-head:

Biden +5
Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 45% (-1)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #95 on: October 29, 2020, 08:26:13 AM »
Pre-Rounding changes:
Biden +5%
Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 45% (n/c)
Jorgensen 2% (n/c)
Hawkins 1% (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Not sure 0% (but some voters) (n/c)

Head-to-head:
Biden +6%
Biden 50% (n/c)
Trump 45% (n/c)
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #96 on: October 30, 2020, 08:29:07 AM »
Pre-Rounding changes:
Biden +6%
Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 45% (n/c)
Jorgensen 1% (n/c)
Hawkins 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Not sure 0% (but some voters) (n/c)

Head-to-head:
Biden +7%
Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 44% (-1)
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ElectionObserver
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« Reply #97 on: October 30, 2020, 09:10:12 AM »
Creeping back up in the days before the election.
They are probably herding and already know they want to end up between +6 and +8.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #98 on: October 31, 2020, 11:45:21 AM »
Pre-Rounding changes:
Biden +5
Biden 50% (-1)
Trump 45% (n/c)
Jorgensen 2% (+1)
Hawkins 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Other 0% (but some voters) (n/c)
Not sure 1% (n/c)

Head-to-head:
Biden +6%
Biden 50% (-1)
Trump 44% (n/c)
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #99 on: October 31, 2020, 11:47:39 AM »
They will be 3% more favorable to the GOP like in 2012 (+1 Obama) and 2016 (+1 Trump)
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