If his internals show him up 7%, that means this race is safe D.
Not only that, it means Warner will win by double digits, probably by a similar margin to that of Tim Kaine in 2018. And what I find interesting is that Warner's Republican predecessor, John Warner (no relation)-who narrowly beat him back in 1996-has endorsed him for reelection. The Republican Warner also supported Abigail Spanberger back in 2018.
The 1996 VA SEN election must have been a very confusing one. “Vote Warner! No, WARNER!”
"Mark, not John".
Someone mentioned how this year's Montana Senate race was one of the few competitive federal races where both candidates are popular, but I imagine this one was another.
I agree with both of you. 1996 was the only election, after his initial election in 1978, that John Warner faced a significant electoral challenge. In 1984, he won with 70% of the vote, and in 1990 and 2002, he did not even have a Democratic opponent. And in 2008, Mark Warner garnered 65% of the vote against Jim Gilmore, in his second-and successful-bid for John Warner's seat (that of course was the year the Republican Warner retired from the Senate). Mark Warner isn't going to do as well this year, but I can easily see him garnering between 55-60% of the vote, like I noted above.
