Yahoo News/YouGov: Biden +8
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Author Topic: Yahoo News/YouGov: Biden +8  (Read 785 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 12, 2020, 05:02:56 PM »
Oct 9-11, 1525 RV, MoE: 4.3%

Biden 51% (nc)
Trump 43% (nc)

https://news.yahoo.com/poll-as-opposition-to-trumps-pandemic-approach-grows-most-voters-want-senate-to-pass-stimulus-before-considering-barrett-195359351.html
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2020, 05:03:45 PM »
SCRANTON FREAKIN JOE!!!
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2020, 05:06:16 PM »
MOE: 4.3%

1525 RV voters

interviewed online from Oct. 9 to 11.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2020, 05:18:35 PM »
Bad poll for Biden.  This will really hurt his 538 average.
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Rand
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« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2020, 05:20:22 PM »
No post-COVID miracle recovery bump for Trump? Pompeo needs to hurry up with those emails. America is waiting.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2020, 05:23:24 PM »
Joseph “8 point lead” Biden
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2020, 05:25:50 PM »
Eight point lead I could buy. More than that - no.
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Horus
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« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2020, 05:28:19 PM »
This looks accurate, not +14. Lining up with a solid, but not landslide Biden lead, especially if the majority of undecideds break for the incumbent.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2020, 05:38:48 PM »
Quote from: Horus on October 12, 2020, 05:28:19 PM
This looks accurate, not +14. Lining up with a solid, but not landslide Biden lead, especially if the majority of undecideds break for the incumbent.

Why would the majority of undecideds break for a highly unpopular incumbent?
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: October 12, 2020, 05:43:07 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 12, 2020, 05:38:48 PM
Quote from: Horus on October 12, 2020, 05:28:19 PM
This looks accurate, not +14. Lining up with a solid, but not landslide Biden lead, especially if the majority of undecideds break for the incumbent.

Why would the majority of undecideds break for a highly unpopular incumbent?

He is not highly unpopular. His numbers are below his approval rating.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #10 on: October 12, 2020, 05:53:10 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 12, 2020, 05:43:07 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 12, 2020, 05:38:48 PM
Quote from: Horus on October 12, 2020, 05:28:19 PM
This looks accurate, not +14. Lining up with a solid, but not landslide Biden lead, especially if the majority of undecideds break for the incumbent.

Why would the majority of undecideds break for a highly unpopular incumbent?

He is not highly unpopular. His numbers are below his approval rating.

*shrug* Believe what you like.  Trump has been underwater in approval throughout his entire presidency, and his disapproval numbers have been mostly "strong disapproval", a group that is almost impossible to convert.  Yes, his horse race numbers are below his approval ratings, but not by much -- 1.7 points at 538 and 3.1 at RCP.  But even his approval numbers would be losing in the two-way race. 
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Ljube
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: October 12, 2020, 05:56:29 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 12, 2020, 05:53:10 PM
Quote from: Ljube on October 12, 2020, 05:43:07 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 12, 2020, 05:38:48 PM
Quote from: Horus on October 12, 2020, 05:28:19 PM
This looks accurate, not +14. Lining up with a solid, but not landslide Biden lead, especially if the majority of undecideds break for the incumbent.

Why would the majority of undecideds break for a highly unpopular incumbent?

He is not highly unpopular. His numbers are below his approval rating.

*shrug* Believe what you like.  Trump has been underwater in approval throughout his entire presidency, and his disapproval numbers have been mostly "strong disapproval", a group that is almost impossible to convert.  Yes, his horse race numbers are below his approval ratings, but not by much -- 1.7 points at 538 and 3.1 at RCP.  But even his approval numbers would be losing in the two-way race. 

I am explaining why the majority of undecideds would break for Trump. Not saying he is winning.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #12 on: October 12, 2020, 06:02:11 PM »
Among likely voters:

Biden 51% (n/c)
Trump 43% (n/c)

Unless I'm mistaken, the registered voter results haven't been released yet.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #13 on: October 12, 2020, 06:36:07 PM »
Online poll that doesn't have state by state numbers, we should be used to these by now
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #14 on: October 12, 2020, 06:38:12 PM »
A more than 8 point win would be fairly remarkable anyway, given the polarization we have rn...
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2020, 09:59:26 AM »
The sample size is in: 1366 likely voters

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/7h9ohi94io/20201011_yahoo_coronavirus_tabs.pdf

Other 2% (n/c)
Undecided 4% (-1)
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