WA GOV, LTGOV, AG, SoS - SurveyUSA/KING-TV: Dems and Wyman lead (user search)
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  WA GOV, LTGOV, AG, SoS - SurveyUSA/KING-TV: Dems and Wyman lead (search mode)
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Author Topic: WA GOV, LTGOV, AG, SoS - SurveyUSA/KING-TV: Dems and Wyman lead  (Read 3131 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: October 12, 2020, 09:50:44 PM »

I doubt the race has changed that much, but Inslee +14 is believable. Wyman is somewhat favored, but it’s not impossible that she loses. She will be the only statewide elected Republican if she does win, though.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2020, 09:51:22 AM »

If Wyman runs, she will run against Murray in 2022.

Wouldn't she prefer a more reliable House seat or a run at the governor's mansion? Even if you don't think WA is titanium D at the Senatorial level, it's an incredibly steep climb.

I would doubt she’s interested in a Senate run. I think it’s more likely she runs for Governor if Inslee retires in 2024. She would have absolutely no chance in a Senate race, even in a Republican wave.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2020, 12:33:43 PM »

Here’s how I would rate statewide offices:

Governor: Safe D

Lieutenant Governor: Lean Heck

Attorney General: Safe D

Public Lands: Safe D

Insurance Commissioner: Safe D

State Auditor: Likely D

Superintendent of Public Instruction: Lean D

State Treasurer: Likely D

Secretary of State: Lean R

I’d agree with most of these, but I’d say Safe D for Auditor and Treasurer, and Likely Heck for Lt. Governor.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2020, 12:52:13 PM »

Here’s how I would rate statewide offices:

Governor: Safe D

Lieutenant Governor: Lean Heck

Attorney General: Safe D

Public Lands: Safe D

Insurance Commissioner: Safe D

State Auditor: Likely D

Superintendent of Public Instruction: Lean D

State Treasurer: Likely D

Secretary of State: Lean R

I’d agree with most of these, but I’d say Safe D for Auditor and Treasurer, and Likely Heck for Lt. Governor.

Safe D for treasurer? Is the incumbent really that bad?

No, but he’s a Republican, and hasn’t built up the same image/reputation Wyman has.
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