WA GOV, LTGOV, AG, SoS - SurveyUSA/KING-TV: Dems and Wyman lead
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 05:52:24 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  WA GOV, LTGOV, AG, SoS - SurveyUSA/KING-TV: Dems and Wyman lead
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: WA GOV, LTGOV, AG, SoS - SurveyUSA/KING-TV: Dems and Wyman lead  (Read 3019 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,771


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 12, 2020, 08:14:09 PM »

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=544b4e4e-7820-4e83-b51a-41423dda3b8a

October 8-12
591 likely voters
MoE: 5.2%
Changes with July 22-27

GOV
Inslee (D) 54% (-7)
Culp (R) 40% (+8)
Undecided 6% (-1)

LTGOV
Heck (D) 31%
Liias (D) 18%
Undecided 52%

AG
Ferguson (D) 49%
Lark (R) 38%
Undecided 13%

SoS
Wyman (R) 45%
Tarleton (D) 40%
Undecided 14%
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,175


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2020, 08:24:42 PM »

I didn't even know Denny Heck was running for Lieutenant Governor.
Logged
Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,980
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2020, 08:28:01 PM »

Glad Wyman is ahead. Would have really sucked to see her lose solely because of party affiliation.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,875


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2020, 08:37:13 PM »

New Poll: Washington Governor by Survey USA on 2020-10-12

Summary: D: 54%, R: 40%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Left Wing
FalterinArc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,512
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -8.26, S: -6.09


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 12, 2020, 08:39:23 PM »

Inslee is going to win but it's still concerning to see Culp improving. This state can honestly go to hell if it votes for Culp. Also wish they polled the Superintendent of Public Instruction election. If Espinoza wins my school is going to go to sh**t.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2020, 09:50:44 PM »

I doubt the race has changed that much, but Inslee +14 is believable. Wyman is somewhat favored, but it’s not impossible that she loses. She will be the only statewide elected Republican if she does win, though.
Logged
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,284
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2020, 09:58:37 PM »

45% really isn’t reassuring for Wyman...
Logged
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,376
Russian Federation


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2020, 12:07:07 AM »

Glad Wyman is ahead. Would have really sucked to see her lose solely because of party affiliation.
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,237
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2020, 09:26:07 AM »

If Wyman runs, she will run against Murray in 2022.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,771


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2020, 09:30:50 AM »

If Wyman runs, she will run against Murray in 2022.

Wouldn't she prefer a more reliable House seat or a run at the governor's mansion? Even if you don't think WA is titanium D at the Senatorial level, it's an incredibly steep climb.
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2020, 09:51:22 AM »

If Wyman runs, she will run against Murray in 2022.

Wouldn't she prefer a more reliable House seat or a run at the governor's mansion? Even if you don't think WA is titanium D at the Senatorial level, it's an incredibly steep climb.

I would doubt she’s interested in a Senate run. I think it’s more likely she runs for Governor if Inslee retires in 2024. She would have absolutely no chance in a Senate race, even in a Republican wave.
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,576
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2020, 11:17:46 AM »

So many undecideds in the Lt. Gov. race. Any chance Freed can somehow get his write-in miracle with Democrats divided, or am I just being a worrywart?
Logged
Canis
canis
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,509


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -6.26

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2020, 12:25:17 PM »

If Wyman runs, she will run against Murray in 2022.

Wouldn't she prefer a more reliable House seat or a run at the governor's mansion? Even if you don't think WA is titanium D at the Senatorial level, it's an incredibly steep climb.
Yeah Wyman would stand no chance at winning a statewide federal race but she could win a house seat and she would stand a chance at winning the governorship if the Dem was a bad candidate
Logged
Figueira
84285
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,175


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 14, 2020, 07:47:48 PM »

Why is Wyman so great?
Logged
Left Wing
FalterinArc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,512
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -8.26, S: -6.09


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 14, 2020, 07:53:43 PM »

She's not
Logged
Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,980
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 14, 2020, 07:54:13 PM »


Washington elections are very well-run. She is also known as extremely competent and non-ideological, which allows her to win a significant amount of crossover support. In 2016, she won by 10 as Trump lost the state by 16.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,937
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 14, 2020, 10:13:11 PM »


Washington elections are very well-run. She is also known as extremely competent and non-ideological, which allows her to win a significant amount of crossover support. In 2016, she won by 10 as Trump lost the state by 16.

Hopefully Wyman manages to win reelection. Polarization should not be allowed to wipe away opposing-party incumbents who are noncontroversial, enjoy high approval ratings, and do well in their positions. Likewise, I hope that West Virginia's Democratic State Treasurer Perdue wins reelection, and the polls indicate that he's favored.

Sadly, my home state of Colorado isn't so inclined to split tickets anymore. In 2018, I voted for every statewide Democrat except for one: Jena Griswold, who is Secretary of State here (and therefore a colleague of Wyman's). Her Republican predecessor, Wayne Williams, was very competent and noncontroversial, but he could not withstand the Democratic wave here. Of course, I don't have a problem with Griswold, and she has been just as competent and effective as Williams was. But I still would have liked for Colorado to have at least one Republican statewide row officer, so that they wouldn't be completely shut out.
Logged
S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,248
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 14, 2020, 10:52:00 PM »


Washington elections are very well-run. She is also known as extremely competent and non-ideological, which allows her to win a significant amount of crossover support. In 2016, she won by 10 as Trump lost the state by 16.

Hopefully Wyman manages to win reelection. Polarization should not be allowed to wipe away opposing-party incumbents who are noncontroversial, enjoy high approval ratings, and do well in their positions. Likewise, I hope that West Virginia's Democratic State Treasurer Perdue wins reelection, and the polls indicate that he's favored.

Sadly, my home state of Colorado isn't so inclined to split tickets anymore. In 2018, I voted for every statewide Democrat except for one: Jena Griswold, who is Secretary of State here (and therefore a colleague of Wyman's). Her Republican predecessor, Wayne Williams, was very competent and noncontroversial, but he could not withstand the Democratic wave here. Of course, I don't have a problem with Griswold, and she has been just as competent and effective as Williams was. But I still would have liked for Colorado to have at least one Republican statewide row officer, so that they wouldn't be completely shut out.

I think Wyman is probably narrowly favored, on the other hand, I think Purdue is going to go down, WV has just gradually become more and more hostile for Democrats, and I don't think he'll survive Trump winning WV by 30+ points.
Logged
Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,980
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 14, 2020, 10:55:29 PM »


Washington elections are very well-run. She is also known as extremely competent and non-ideological, which allows her to win a significant amount of crossover support. In 2016, she won by 10 as Trump lost the state by 16.

Hopefully Wyman manages to win reelection. Polarization should not be allowed to wipe away opposing-party incumbents who are noncontroversial, enjoy high approval ratings, and do well in their positions. Likewise, I hope that West Virginia's Democratic State Treasurer Perdue wins reelection, and the polls indicate that he's favored.

Sadly, my home state of Colorado isn't so inclined to split tickets anymore. In 2018, I voted for every statewide Democrat except for one: Jena Griswold, who is Secretary of State here (and therefore a colleague of Wyman's). Her Republican predecessor, Wayne Williams, was very competent and noncontroversial, but he could not withstand the Democratic wave here. Of course, I don't have a problem with Griswold, and she has been just as competent and effective as Williams was. But I still would have liked for Colorado to have at least one Republican statewide row officer, so that they wouldn't be completely shut out.

I think Wyman is probably narrowly favored, on the other hand, I think Purdue is going to go down, WV has just gradually become more and more hostile for Democrats, and I don't think he'll survive Trump winning WV by 30+ points.

Perdue did win in 2016 as Trump carried the state by 42, and his victory margin in the state is likely to shrink quite a bit. Plus West Virginia has a lot of ticket splitting, as there are a lot of Democratic legislators who still hold very Trump-friendly districts.
Logged
Left Wing
FalterinArc
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,512
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: -8.26, S: -6.09


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 14, 2020, 11:51:21 PM »

Here’s how I would rate statewide offices:

Governor: Safe D

Lieutenant Governor: Lean Heck

Attorney General: Safe D

Public Lands: Safe D

Insurance Commissioner: Safe D

State Auditor: Likely D

Superintendent of Public Instruction: Lean D

State Treasurer: Likely D

Secretary of State: Lean R
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 18, 2020, 12:33:43 PM »

Here’s how I would rate statewide offices:

Governor: Safe D

Lieutenant Governor: Lean Heck

Attorney General: Safe D

Public Lands: Safe D

Insurance Commissioner: Safe D

State Auditor: Likely D

Superintendent of Public Instruction: Lean D

State Treasurer: Likely D

Secretary of State: Lean R

I’d agree with most of these, but I’d say Safe D for Auditor and Treasurer, and Likely Heck for Lt. Governor.
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,771


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: October 18, 2020, 12:49:03 PM »

Here’s how I would rate statewide offices:

Governor: Safe D

Lieutenant Governor: Lean Heck

Attorney General: Safe D

Public Lands: Safe D

Insurance Commissioner: Safe D

State Auditor: Likely D

Superintendent of Public Instruction: Lean D

State Treasurer: Likely D

Secretary of State: Lean R

I’d agree with most of these, but I’d say Safe D for Auditor and Treasurer, and Likely Heck for Lt. Governor.

Safe D for treasurer? Is the incumbent really that bad?
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: October 18, 2020, 12:52:13 PM »

Here’s how I would rate statewide offices:

Governor: Safe D

Lieutenant Governor: Lean Heck

Attorney General: Safe D

Public Lands: Safe D

Insurance Commissioner: Safe D

State Auditor: Likely D

Superintendent of Public Instruction: Lean D

State Treasurer: Likely D

Secretary of State: Lean R

I’d agree with most of these, but I’d say Safe D for Auditor and Treasurer, and Likely Heck for Lt. Governor.

Safe D for treasurer? Is the incumbent really that bad?

No, but he’s a Republican, and hasn’t built up the same image/reputation Wyman has.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.054 seconds with 14 queries.