MI-NYT/Siena: Peters +1 (user search)
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  MI-NYT/Siena: Peters +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-NYT/Siena: Peters +1  (Read 4288 times)
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35
« on: October 12, 2020, 12:09:41 PM »
I’d be more concerned if it was Peters 49-48. James at 42% isn’t really that good for him, considering the undecideds skew democratic.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35
« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2020, 12:12:40 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on October 12, 2020, 12:10:57 PM
Quote from: Election Mafioso on October 12, 2020, 12:09:41 PM
I’d be more concerned if it was Peters 49-48. James at 42% isn’t really that good for him, considering the undecideds skew democratic.

An incumbent senator at 43% three weeks before an election indicates significant vulnerability.

Mostly an issue of name recognition.  
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35
« Reply #2 on: October 12, 2020, 01:15:10 PM »
Quote from: Titanium Tilt R Florida on October 12, 2020, 01:10:33 PM
Quote from: ExSky on October 12, 2020, 12:54:09 PM
Blue Avis are going to be thoroughly disappointed when Straight Ticket voting carries Peters town 10-12 point win.

If you’re expecting Peters to win by 10-12 points, I don’t think I’ll be the one who’s disappointed, but hey, who knows.

When you account for the Harley-Davidson vote it’s more likely a 30-35 point victory.
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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,577
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35
« Reply #3 on: October 12, 2020, 02:53:24 PM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on October 12, 2020, 02:44:35 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on October 12, 2020, 02:41:08 PM
Here's an underrated possibility - more and more voters think Biden will win, so they're more comfortable voting for downballot Republicans since they're less likely to enable Trump.

I don’t think this is the case at all. Literally talk to anyone who doesn’t follow politics closely and nearly everyone, no matter their ideology, is convinced Trump will win again.

A solid 30% of Atlas Democrats think Trump is destined to overperform his polling by 8-9 points no matter what.
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