Will 2016 be seen as a fluke if Trump decisively loses to Biden?
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Dereich)
  Will 2016 be seen as a fluke if Trump decisively loses to Biden?
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Author Topic: Will 2016 be seen as a fluke if Trump decisively loses to Biden?  (Read 542 times)
President Johnson
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« on: October 11, 2020, 03:14:08 PM »

If Donald Trump goes down in a landslide to Joe Biden next month, which seems likely at this point, will the 2016 presidential election be seen a fluke? By landslide I mean Biden wins by six points or more and exceeds Obama's 2012 number of electoral votes (332). Since I doubt pundits will only attribute to Trump's defeat a result of his disastrous handling of the pandemic, they may point out that Trump never throughout his term had a positive approval rating on average.

I think the election of 2016 may be very well seen as a fluke, in which unique factors all combined resulted into a bare 77,000 votes victory: An unpopular opponent who had tons of baggage (some earned, mostly blown up), Russian interference and the Comey letter. Trump's election wasn't even a true mandate, since he lost the popular vote by nearly three million. It should also be noted that Trump received less votes percentage-wise than Mitt Romney (46.1% versus 47.2%) and barely more than John McCain (45.7%) or Michael Dukakis (45.9%).

Before the 2020 election, pundits and journalists have been cautious due to 2016, by a decisive Biden victory would wash this away pretty quickly. I have a feeling we'll be reading some examinations next month how anyone could have ever thought Trump had a real shot at reelection and that his likely loss was already foreseeable ever since 2017, when America realized it had made a terrible mistake by electing this man.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2020, 03:25:12 PM »

Not a fluke, really. More like a stunning and scathing indictment of the American people.
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jfern
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« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2020, 03:34:33 PM »

If Republicans win 2024, then 2020 will be seen as the fluke.
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Turbo Flame
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« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2020, 05:32:37 PM »

Yes. In fact despite my little following of politics back then, I knew Donald Trump was winning that Election because I didn't hear good things about Hillary Clinton back in 2012. Plus, I didn't think people were ready for a female President. That's why I knew Donald Trump was taking that one home.
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