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October 25, 2020, 12:08:06 PM
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  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  GA Senate - Public Policy Polling - Ossoff 44 (+1), Warnock 41 (+17)
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Author Topic: GA Senate - Public Policy Polling - Ossoff 44 (+1), Warnock 41 (+17)  (Read 934 times)
Stuart98
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« on: October 10, 2020, 07:24:37 AM »
« edited: October 10, 2020, 07:33:01 AM by Stuart98 »

https://www.publicpolicypolling.com/polls/georgia-senate-races-look-runoff-bound/

October 8-9
528 RVs
MoE ±4.3%

Ossoff (D) 44
Perdue (R) 43
Hazel (L) 4

Warnock (D) 41
Loeffler (R) 24
Collins (R) 22
Lieberman (D) 3
Tarver (D) <1
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Ljube
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2020, 07:28:30 AM »

Many undecideds.

They should be polling runoffs at this point.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2020, 07:30:55 AM »

Still a tossup and very underrated pickup opportunities for Dems
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VARepublican
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2020, 07:39:45 AM »
« Edited: October 10, 2020, 07:49:21 AM by VARepublican »

Perdue approval: 41/46 (-5)
Loeffler approval: 31/42 (-11)

Favorabilities:
Ossoff: 40/44 (-4)
Collins: 32/36 (-4)
Warnock: 43/26 (+17)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2020, 08:12:31 AM »

Very, very glad that the wave of endorsements (and Liebermann acting like a dick) really just turned his campaign completely off.

This also confirms the Ossoff/Perdue race is a tossup but likely to go to a runoff as well
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2020, 08:26:38 AM »

The GOP should really fear a Warnock vs. Loeffler runoff. If that's what it comes down to then that would favor the Democrats. I can't imagine an easier incumbent to run against in a state that still tilts (Republican) red.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #6 on: October 10, 2020, 08:31:59 AM »

REGULAR
Changes with August 13-14 poll

Ossoff 44% (n/c)
Perdue 43% (-1)
Hazel 4% (not previously included)
Not sure 9% (-2)

SPECIAL
Changes with June 25-26 poll (for a partisan sponsor, End Citizens United)

Warnock (D) 41% (+21)
Loeffler (R) 24% (+3)
Collins (R) 22% (-1)
Lieberman (D) 3% (-8)
Tarver (D) 0% (but some voters) (-3)
Someone else 2% (not previously included)
Undecided 8% (+14)
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Georgia Democrat in 2020
mollybecky
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« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2020, 08:41:47 AM »

Warnock running very good ads in the metro Atlanta market.  He has cemented his spot in the runoff.

As for Collins and Loeffler, their trashing of each other can't be beneficial to whoever gets through.

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ON Progressive
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« Reply #8 on: October 10, 2020, 09:08:52 AM »

LMAO Lieberman has less Black support than Loeffler. That is so pathetic.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2020, 09:32:19 AM »

Loeffler approval: 31/42 (-11)
Warnock: 43/26 (+17)

Seeing this pretty consistently at this point. Warnock will win the run-off.
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yanebot
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« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2020, 10:35:04 AM »

GA-SEN special is now Lean D
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #11 on: October 10, 2020, 11:43:20 AM »

The GOP should really fear a Warnock vs. Loeffler runoff. If that's what it comes down to then that would favor the Democrats. I can't imagine an easier incumbent to run against in a state that still tilts (Republican) red.

Yeah, Warnock vs. Loeffler is honestly the best possible outcome for the Democrats going into the run-off.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #12 on: October 10, 2020, 02:15:40 PM »

The GOP should really fear a Warnock vs. Loeffler runoff. If that's what it comes down to then that would favor the Democrats. I can't imagine an easier incumbent to run against in a state that still tilts (Republican) red.

Yeah, Warnock vs. Loeffler is honestly the best possible outcome for the Democrats going into the run-off.

Agreed, though runoffs sort of favor Republicans by design
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #13 on: October 10, 2020, 03:29:56 PM »

Hoping for Warnock vs. Loeffler!
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Xing
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« Reply #14 on: October 10, 2020, 11:34:04 PM »

Still a tossup and very underrated pickup opportunities for Dems

I agree, but I’d like to see him getting closer to 50% in a few polls.
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ExSky
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« Reply #15 on: October 11, 2020, 08:07:57 AM »

Loeffler has becomes incredibly toxic. Gop should have cut her support off
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President Johnson
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« Reply #16 on: October 11, 2020, 02:39:59 PM »

Seems like Lieberman has totally collapsed. Probably Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters pay more attention to this race now that election is only weeks away and they're unwilling to split the vote for a Loeffler-Collins runoff.
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Hardcore Sen. Peters/Daines/Cornyn/Perdue supporter
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« Reply #17 on: October 11, 2020, 05:59:05 PM »

I do think Perdue will run 1-2 points ahead of Trump (and he’ll probably need to), but really not more than that. My current prediction is Biden +2 while this seat goes to a runoff (with Ossoff getting 49.0-49.3% in November).
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« Reply #18 on: October 12, 2020, 12:37:16 AM »

Lieberman needs to endorse Warnock and try to put him over the edge in November. Warnock + Kelly both going to the Senate immediately actually might mean no ACB on the Supreme Court if Collins and Murkowski are serious.
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Kansas City Suburbanite for Orman-Clinton-Kelly For Marshall
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« Reply #19 on: October 12, 2020, 12:54:42 AM »

Perdue approval: 41/46 (-5)
Loeffler approval: 31/42 (-11)

Favorabilities:
Ossoff: 40/44 (-4)
Collins: 32/36 (-4)
Warnock: 43/26 (+17)

Augusta Warnock.
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RoboWop
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« Reply #20 on: October 12, 2020, 12:20:32 PM »

The GOP should really fear a Warnock vs. Loeffler runoff. If that's what it comes down to then that would favor the Democrats. I can't imagine an easier incumbent to run against in a state that still tilts (Republican) red.

I think it would depend entirely on who's President-elect (see: 2008), though candidate quality would favor Warnock.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #21 on: October 12, 2020, 01:12:19 PM »

The GOP should really fear a Warnock vs. Loeffler runoff. If that's what it comes down to then that would favor the Democrats. I can't imagine an easier incumbent to run against in a state that still tilts (Republican) red.

I think it would depend entirely on who's President-elect (see: 2008), though candidate quality would favor Warnock.

That's definitely true, but if it's high-propensity voters like the elderly or educated voters that are fueling Democratic success in the polls, then I don't think that off-year elections or runoffs are going to favor the GOP to the extent that they did in 2010 or 2014.

I also don't think it's a given that Trump-supporters are going to be as eager to get out and vote once Trump has lost. I think that the loss of Trump will result in a huge crisis of identity for the GOP, but who knows what the immediate electoral consequences of that will be?
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #22 on: October 12, 2020, 09:28:30 PM »

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2020-10-09

Summary: D: 44%, R: 43%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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