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October 21, 2020, 02:54:32 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  GA-Landmark: Perdue +1 | Warnock +10
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Author Topic: GA-Landmark: Perdue +1 | Warnock +10  (Read 514 times)
Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds
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« on: October 09, 2020, 05:18:30 PM »

Perdue 47
Ossoff 46

Warnock 36
Loeffler 26
Collins 23
Lieberman 3

https://www.ajc.com/politics/politics-blog/wsb-poll-warnock-soars-ahead-in-wild-georgia-us-senate-race/5KZXEATP6ZCZXKNEE6EWWH5B6Q/
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2020, 05:19:50 PM »

Interesting how Osoff, while not outperforming Biden, is losing time Perdue by less than Biden is losing to Trump. Iíll consider moving this from Lean to Tilt R if this continues
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2020, 05:33:08 PM »

At this rate, I am starting to wonder if Warnock consolidates enough that a majority in November is plausible?  Could Warnock end up running almost even with Ossoff?
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2020, 05:41:32 PM »

Tossup is still a tossup
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #4 on: October 09, 2020, 05:46:13 PM »

At this rate, I am starting to wonder if Warnock consolidates enough that a majority in November is plausible?  Could Warnock end up running almost even with Ossoff?

I could see him getting to 46% on a very good night, but thereís always going to be some people who vote Liberman just for the name
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #5 on: October 09, 2020, 05:53:26 PM »

Warnock is surging
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DTC
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« Reply #6 on: October 09, 2020, 05:56:22 PM »

At this rate, I am starting to wonder if Warnock consolidates enough that a majority in November is plausible?  Could Warnock end up running almost even with Ossoff?

There's 20 people on the Georgia Senate special ballot. Some dems, some repubs, some indies, a libertarian.

Warnock will not be getting 50% first round.
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Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds
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« Reply #7 on: October 09, 2020, 05:57:49 PM »

GA-R isnít Lean R lol.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #8 on: October 09, 2020, 06:16:42 PM »

I think both GA races are likely going to run-offs at this point.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #9 on: October 09, 2020, 06:31:04 PM »
« Edited: October 09, 2020, 06:39:51 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

Conducted by Landmark Communications
October 7
600 likely voters
MoE: 4%

GA-REGULAR
Hazel (L) 2%
Undecided 6%

At this rate, I am starting to wonder if Warnock consolidates enough that a majority in November is plausible?  Could Warnock end up running almost even with Ossoff?

There's 20 people on the Georgia Senate special ballot. Some dems, some repubs, some indies, a libertarian.

Warnock will not be getting 50% first round.

I'm of that opinion too, but the poll suggests there's only a tiny amount of support even for all of these candidates put together. It polled for all 19 of the active candidates (although not the one eligible write-in and the withdrawn Republican who remains on the ballot) and got these results:

GA-SPECIAL
Fortuin (G) 1%
Johnson-Shealey (D) 1%
Taylor (R) 1%
Bartell (I) 0% (but some voters)
Slade (D) 0% (but some voters)
Stovall (I) 0% (but some voters)
Tarver (D) 0% (but some voters)
Buckley (I) 0% (no voters)
Grayson (R) 0% (no voters)
Greene (I) 0% (no voters)
Jackson (R) 0% (no voters)
James (D) 0% (no voters)
Slowinski (L) 0% (no voters)
Winfield (D) 0% (no voters)
Undecided 8%
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #10 on: October 09, 2020, 06:49:06 PM »

LOL @ Lieberman crashing and burning.

Who knew that attacking Obama doesn't exactly win over many Democratic supporters?
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #11 on: October 09, 2020, 06:51:34 PM »

Warnock and Harrison are helped by Harris being on the ticket
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #12 on: October 09, 2020, 07:02:32 PM »

Can we stop with Georgia? Itís not happening in that state. Plenty of other pick up chances
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2020, 07:10:00 PM »

That's right: f**k off, Lieberman!!


Can we stop with Georgia? Itís not happening in that state. Plenty of other pick up chances

Y'know, continuing to say the same thing over & over & over again (despite literally all of the evidence to the contrary) doesn't actually make it true Wink
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Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same
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« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2020, 07:12:55 PM »

Can we stop with West Virginia? Itís not happening in that state. Plenty of other pick up chances


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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #15 on: October 09, 2020, 07:14:12 PM »

If D's lose NC, which is possible, D's may need Iowa and GA to win the Senate
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Xing
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« Reply #16 on: October 09, 2020, 08:13:54 PM »

Good chance this is Seat 51 for the Democrats. Pretty much a Pure Toss-Up.
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Monstro Believes in a Blue Texas & a Blue Georgia
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« Reply #17 on: October 09, 2020, 09:09:16 PM »

Can we stop with Georgia? Itís not happening in that state. Plenty of other pick up chances

Someone's pissy about Georgia.

A little optimism never hurt anyone. It shouldn't hurt you
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Georgia Democrat in 2020
mollybecky
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« Reply #18 on: October 10, 2020, 08:45:23 AM »

Perdue is hanging on--and may come through without a runoff--by avoiding any mention to Trump in his advertising. 

There will be some Biden/Perdue ticket splitting--especially by those never Trumpers who can't stand Trump but don't want a Democratic Senate.
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EastOfEden
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« Reply #19 on: October 10, 2020, 03:10:20 PM »

Perdue is hanging on--and may come through without a runoff--by avoiding any mention to Trump in his advertising. 

There will be some Biden/Perdue ticket splitting--especially by those never Trumpers who can't stand Trump but don't want a Democratic Senate.

Tiny minority of people. Especially in a state as polarized as Georgia.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #20 on: October 12, 2020, 09:32:00 PM »

New Poll: Georgia Senator by Landmark Communications on 2020-10-07

Summary: D: 46%, R: 47%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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