COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/KBAndersen/status/1391517659888488453

[100% pro-life no matter what]

A new study published earlier this week estimates that more than 900,000 Americans have died from COVID-19, nearly double the amount recorded by health officials and trackers.

Data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, for example, has the coronavirus death toll in the US at around 581,000 people. A tracker from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has a number within the same range, at about 577,000 deaths.

“We’ve been saying – and the CDC has been saying all along – that it is very likely that we’re undercounting,” Fauci, the director of the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said in an interview on NBC’s “Meet the Press.”

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/fauci-no-doubt-undercount-covid-19-death-toll-2021-5

Very bad news. In comparison the number of people who died from the flu in recent years ranged from 23,000 to 61,000 annually. And without containment measures it would have been even worse. So the idea that the pandemic was nothing was obviously wrong.

If this is true, that means coronavirus has killed more Americans than either the Civil War or the Spanish Flu did.

A study based on excess deaths needs to account for excess deaths created by our response to covid.  This will include very tangible mental health-related deaths, but also physical health ones due to things like delaying cancer screenings, and even less tangible things like older people just losing the will to live due to isolation.

And, even if you took that at face value, you would need to scale it to the population before comparing it to historical events.

[ilikeverin]

A new study published earlier this week estimates that more than 900,000 Americans have died from COVID-19, nearly double the amount recorded by health officials and trackers.

Data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, for example, has the coronavirus death toll in the US at around 581,000 people. A tracker from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has a number within the same range, at about 577,000 deaths.

“We’ve been saying – and the CDC has been saying all along – that it is very likely that we’re undercounting,” Fauci, the director of the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said in an interview on NBC’s “Meet the Press.”

https://www.businessinsider.com.au/fauci-no-doubt-undercount-covid-19-death-toll-2021-5

Very bad news. In comparison the number of people who died from the flu in recent years ranged from 23,000 to 61,000 annually. And without containment measures it would have been even worse. So the idea that the pandemic was nothing was obviously wrong.

If this is true, that means coronavirus has killed more Americans than either the Civil War or the Spanish Flu did.

A study based on excess deaths needs to account for excess deaths created by our response to covid.  This will include very tangible mental health-related deaths, but also physical health ones due to things like delaying cancer screenings, and even less tangible things like older people just losing the will to live due to isolation.

It did. Here's a better article that explains the methodology: https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2021/05/06/994287048/new-study-estimates-more-than-900-000-people-have-died-of-covid-19-in-u-s

There were indeed more deaths due to drug overdoses and deferred healthcare, but they were pretty much evenly balanced with decreased deaths due to the flu and due to injury.

[Dr. Arch]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 5/9 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE:What's the overall change in the total?

Brackets []: These represent the total change for the day, including backlogged reports, if any.

• These numbers are inflated relative to the actual reports for the day, so they are not used to calculate the comparative percentage shifts.

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5/2: <Sunday>

• Cases: 33,180,441 (+30,701 [+34,433] | ΔW Change: ↓11.62% | Σ Increase: ↑0.10%)
• Deaths: 591,062 (+312 [+358] | ΔW Change: ↑14.71% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)

5/3: <M>

• Cases: 33,230,561 (+39,767 [+50,120] | ΔW Change: ↓16.20% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)
• Deaths: 591,514 (+452 | ΔW Change: ↓1.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)

5/4: <T>

• Cases: 33,274,659 (+44,098 | ΔW Change: ↓15.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)
• Deaths: 592,409 (+895 | ΔW Change: ↑15.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

5/5: <W>

• Cases: 33,321,244 (+46,585 | ΔW Change: ↓17.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.14%)
• Deaths: 593,148 (+739 | ΔW Change: ↓22.54% | Σ Increase: ↑0.12%)

5/6: <Þ>

• Cases: 33,369,192 (+47,948 | ΔW Change: ↓20.58% | Σ Increase: ↑0.14%)
• Deaths: 594,006 (+858 | ΔW Change: ↓1.38% | Σ Increase: ↑0.14%)

5/7: <F>

• Cases: 33,418,826 (+49,634 | ΔW Change: ↓17.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)
• Deaths: 594,911 (+777 [+905] | ΔW Change: ↓0.89% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

5/8 (Yesterday): <S>

• Cases: 33,454,581 (+35,755 | ΔW Change: ↓14.94% | Σ Increase: ↑0.11%)
• Deaths: 595,588 (+677 | ΔW Change: ↑4.31% | Σ Increase: ↑0.11%)

5/9 (Today): <Sunday>

• Cases: 33,476,781 (+22,200 | ΔW Change: ↓27.69% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 595,812 (+224 | ΔW Change: ↓28.21% | Σ Increase: ↑0.04%)

[soundchaser]

I know it’s a Sunday, but is that the lowest number of new daily cases since June of last year?

[DINGO Joe]

I finally received my J&J this morning. I feel fine for the most part after a relatively long, but sorely needed nap.

Should change your name to OneJ&J

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1391458079783493638

Just another insane former Trump adviser.

[Person Man]

https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1391458079783493638

Just another insane former Trump adviser.

We really need to consider getting a lot of these Trump voter ruled incompetent so that they can't vote.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I know it’s a Sunday, but is that the lowest number of new daily cases since June of last year?

Yes:

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1391742458199953409

[DINGO Joe]

So anyway, my 78 yr old in-laws still haven't gotten the vaccine because they are living the life of backwoods Alabama crackers.  My father-in-law is coming to New Orleans in about 10 days for a trade show at the convention center which also happens to have one of these FEMA run vaccination centers going.  So, my wife and one of her siblings are cooking up a scheme to get Daddy vaccinated while Libby is back in Alabama.  I expect to be like a modern day version of the Lucy show.

[Lief 🗽]

Vaccination rate picking up again after slumping last week. Is this from J&J coming back on line?
https://twitter.com/erictopol/status/1391808486548250624?s=21

[ultraviolet]

Got my second dose (pfizer) today and didn’t feel anything. Last time they stuck the needle in for a while presumably to insert the vaccine but this time it was super quick. My arm isn’t even sore. Apparently a lot of people’s reactions have been “did they even give me anything?”

I just hope I don’t feel like I have the flu tomorrow

[Hammy]

https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1391458079783493638

Just another insane former Trump adviser.

This is extremely dangerous and will do nothing but kill more people. These people should be treated under the law the same as people spreading enemy propaganda during wartime would.

[sguberman]

https://mobile.twitter.com/jeneps/status/1391863702689828870

[Meclazine for Israel]

"India recorded more than 750,000 new cases over the weekend".

Don't open link if you are eating breakfast.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-05-11/covid-india-who-bodies-wash-up-on-banks-of-ganges-river/100130032

New Indian strain may be on the way.

[Frodo]

Good news for our younger members (and their parents, of course):

FDA authorizes Pfizer coronavirus vaccine for adolescents 12 to 15 years old

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

https://twitter.com/patriottakes/status/1391458079783493638

Just another insane former Trump adviser.

We really need to consider getting a lot of these Trump voter ruled incompetent so that they can't vote.

Lock them up in a giant MAGA mental institution. We need to give Fauci the Presidential Medal of Freedom to trigger Trump.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

7-day positive rate just plummeted to 3.16%.

[Dr. Arch]

The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 5/10 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.

• IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?

Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.

• IE:What's the overall change in the total?

Brackets []: These represent the total change for the day, including backlogged reports, if any.

• These numbers are inflated relative to the actual reports for the day, so they are not used to calculate the comparative percentage shifts.

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5/2: <Sunday>

• Cases: 33,180,441 (+30,701 [+34,433] | ΔW Change: ↓11.62% | Σ Increase: ↑0.10%)
• Deaths: 591,062 (+312 [+358] | ΔW Change: ↑14.71% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)

5/3: <M>

• Cases: 33,230,561 (+39,767 [+50,120] | ΔW Change: ↓16.20% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)
• Deaths: 591,514 (+452 | ΔW Change: ↓1.53% | Σ Increase: ↑0.08%)

5/4: <T>

• Cases: 33,274,659 (+44,098 | ΔW Change: ↓15.27% | Σ Increase: ↑0.13%)
• Deaths: 592,409 (+895 | ΔW Change: ↑15.78% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

5/5: <W>

• Cases: 33,321,244 (+46,585 | ΔW Change: ↓17.70% | Σ Increase: ↑0.14%)
• Deaths: 593,148 (+739 | ΔW Change: ↓22.54% | Σ Increase: ↑0.12%)

5/6: <Þ>

• Cases: 33,369,192 (+47,948 | ΔW Change: ↓20.58% | Σ Increase: ↑0.14%)
• Deaths: 594,006 (+858 | ΔW Change: ↓1.38% | Σ Increase: ↑0.14%)

5/7: <F>

• Cases: 33,418,826 (+49,634 | ΔW Change: ↓17.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)
• Deaths: 594,911 (+777 [+905] | ΔW Change: ↓0.89% | Σ Increase: ↑0.15%)

5/8: <S>

• Cases: 33,454,581 (+35,755 | ΔW Change: ↓14.94% | Σ Increase: ↑0.11%)
• Deaths: 595,588 (+677 | ΔW Change: ↑4.31% | Σ Increase: ↑0.11%)

5/9 (Yesterday): <Sunday>

• Cases: 33,476,781 (+22,200 | ΔW Change: ↓27.69% | Σ Increase: ↑0.07%)
• Deaths: 595,812 (+224 | ΔW Change: ↓28.21% | Σ Increase: ↑0.04%)

5/10 (Today): <M>

• Cases: 33,515,308 (+30,152 [+38,527] | ΔW Change: ↓24.18% | Σ Increase: ↑0.12%)
• Deaths: 596,179 (+367 | ΔW Change: ↓18.81% | Σ Increase: ↑0.06%)

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

This is finally looking like the real bottoming-out that comes with mass vaccination. The death rate was being a bit stubborn for a while, but it's catching up now.

More of this and we can follow Israel eventually.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Got my second dose (pfizer) today and didn’t feel anything. Last time they stuck the needle in for a while presumably to insert the vaccine but this time it was super quick. My arm isn’t even sore. Apparently a lot of people’s reactions have been “did they even give me anything?”

I just hope I don’t feel like I have the flu tomorrow

I definitely didn’t even feel my first dose. Asked the doctor multiple times if he was sure I’d gotten it.

[vitoNova]

DC full re-opening June 11!   Praise the Lawd!

Thank you, Dr. Fauci.   Thank you, President Old Ass Man!

Happy Days are Here Again!!!

[pbrower2a]

This is finally looking like the real bottoming-out that comes with mass vaccination. The death rate was being a bit stubborn for a while, but it's catching up now.

More of this and we can follow Israel eventually.

Deaths are a lagging indicator, as COVID-19 is not a quick kill. If people do not contract it, then they will not get sick, then deathly ill, then dead.  

[Lief 🗽]

DC full re-opening June 11!   Praise the Lawd!

Thank you, Dr. Fauci.   Thank you, President Old Ass Man!

Happy Days are Here Again!!!

Truly wonderful to see President Biden open up America again, after Trump shut it down.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1392088822364639232