COVID-19 Megathread 6: Return of the Omicron

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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자):
Quote from: Del Tachi on August 03, 2020, 09:32:24 AM

Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 03, 2020, 07:58:29 AM

Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on August 03, 2020, 07:49:47 AM

Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 03, 2020, 07:47:53 AM

Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on August 03, 2020, 07:41:50 AM

Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on August 03, 2020, 07:35:23 AM

Cherokee County, Georgia, a few miles to my west, is opening schools today.  Some highlights:

Out of 43K students, 23% will be starting remotely.  Whichever option parents decided (home or remote), they have to stay committed to that for the first nine weeks for elementary schools, and the entire fall semester for middle and high school.

Face masks are mandatory for teachers and staff, but only recommended for students.

Due to space constraints, they will not be able to consistently maintain six feet of distance between students.

The district is not doing temperature checks. They ask parents to check their child’s temperature before coming to school and getting on the bus daily, and the same goes for school staff.

I expect this to be a disaster.

https://www.wsbtv.com/news/local/this-1st-day-school-cherokee-county-will-look-very-different-than-other-years/SXIPJOW2JJG3VPJTMFBT3OJQEU/



Aug. 3 is much too early even in a normal year. Other than that, I don't think there'll be any problems. I guess somebody had to go back early just to prove school is doable.

A lot of people have already been interacting like normal this summer, so school probably doesn't pose any new risks.



Cherokee always seems to start a little earlier than anyone else in metro Atlanta, although in general I agree that GA schools do start way too early.  My county (Forsyth) was scheduled to start this Thursday (the 6th) but has delayed it by a week.



The early start in the South has to do with farming (at least ancestrally), no? (Or at least that's the way it was explained to us in Texas). 



I think that was the original reason for starting in August, as opposed to after Labor Day, as some parts of the country use.  But it used to be late August, and only in fairly recent times has it moved to early August (or even July 31 in Cherokee one year!)  AIUI, there were a couple of reasons for this:

1. They wanted to end the first semester before Christmas, so as not to have exams hanging over students' heads over the holidays.

2. Some districts wanted a more balanced schedule, with a shorter summer vacation and more breaks during the school year.



A lot of older public schools in the Midwest and Northeast don't have air conditioning, so a later start is common in those places to avoid schooling during the hottest weeks of the year.

Air conditioning is a way of life in the Deep South. 



Now it is.

I did all my schooling in South Carolina, but I didn't have any air conditioning at school until eighth grade. The most important piece of school equipment was the big box fan at the front of the classroom. At least it gave kids a reason to be at the front of the class.

Dr. Arch:
The updated numbers for COVID-19 in the U.S. are in for 8/3 per: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

I'm keeping track of these updates daily and updating at the end of the day, whenever all states finish reporting for that day.

New - Substituting the Δ Change metric as of 7/13 on dates starting from 7/5:
ΔW Change: Comparisons of Weekly Day-to-day Growth or Decline of COVID-19 Spread/Deaths.
IE: Comparing the numbers to the same day of last week, are we flattening the curve enough?
Σ Increase: A day's contribution to overall percentage growth of COVID-19 cases/deaths.
IE: What's the overall change in the total?
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7/26: <Sunday>
Cases: 4,371,839 (+56,151 | ΔW Change: ↓11.24% | Σ Increase: ↑1.30%)Deaths: 149,849 (+454 | ΔW Change: ↑15.82% | Σ Increase: ↑0.30%)
7/27: <M>
Cases: 4,433,392 (+61,553 | ΔW Change: ↓4.68% | Σ Increase: ↑1.41%)Deaths: 150,444 (+595 | ΔW Change: ↑5.31% | Σ Increase: ↑0.40%)
7/28: <T>
Cases: 4,498,343 (+64,951 | ΔW Change: ↓3.26% | Σ Increase: ↑1.47%)Deaths: 152,320 (+1,876 | ΔW Change: ↑67.65% | Σ Increase: ↑1.25%)
7/29: <W>
Cases: 4,568,037 (+69,694 | ΔW Change: ↓3.61% | Σ Increase: ↑1.55%)Deaths: 153,840 (+1,520 | ΔW Change: ↑23.58% | Σ Increase: ↑1.00%)
7/30: <Þ>
Cases: 4,634,985 (+66,948 | ΔW Change: ↓3.14% | Σ Increase: ↑1.47%)Deaths: 155,285 (+1,445 | ΔW Change: ↑25.65% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)
7/31: <F>
Cases: 4,705,889 (+70,904 | ΔW Change: ↓9.49% | Σ Increase: ↑1.53%)Deaths: 156,747 (+1,462 | ΔW Change: ↑26.36% | Σ Increase: ↑0.94%)
8/1: <S>
Cases: 4,764,318 (+58,429 | ΔW Change: ↓13.25% | Σ Increase: ↑1.24%)Deaths: 157,898 (+1,151 | ΔW Change: ↑27.18% | Σ Increase: ↑0.73%)
8/2 (Yesterday): <Sunday>
Cases: 4,813,647 (+49,329 | ΔW Change: ↓13.25% | Σ Increase: ↑1.04%)Deaths: 158,365 (+467 | ΔW Change: ↑12.15% | Σ Increase: ↑0.30%)
8/3 (Today): <M>
Cases: 4,862,174 (+48,527 | ΔW Change: ↓21.14% | Σ Increase: ↑1.01%)Deaths: 158,929 (+564 | ΔW Change: ↓5.21% | Σ Increase: ↑0.36%)

emailking:
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The Hunt for the Red October Surprise:
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on August 03, 2020, 07:09:20 PM

Quote from: One of Those People on August 03, 2020, 07:02:32 PM

Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on August 03, 2020, 02:33:28 PM

People are done listening to the "Lockdown! Lockdown! Lockdown!" types.



We wouldn’t have as big of a problem if people listened to them in the first place.



In fairness the bigger problem was state and local governments getting impatient and lifting the lock-downs themselves even in spite of the risks.

You can more accurately blame ordinary people for not abiding by mask-wearing or social distancing protocols though. That was the next fail-safe.



That and the gross irresponsibility of many red state governors (e.g. Noem and DeSantis). The CDC dragging its feet on saying we should wear masks probably didn’t help either. But the mask thing is secondary to people staying at home.

Middle-aged Europe:
Um, 25% of Americans - including 43% of Republicans - say that the United States is managing the COVID-19 pandemic "much better" or "somewhat better" than other countries.

Low information voters?

Granted, "better than other countries" is a bit unspecific. One could argue that the United States' response is still better than Brazil's. But to say that it is anywhere near being great seems a bit disconnected from the real world.


https://www.npr.org/2020/08/04/898522180/despite-mask-wars-americans-support-aggressive-measures-to-stop-covid-19-poll-fi

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