AZ-Sen: Uh oh, Kyl only up by 7%.
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  AZ-Sen: Uh oh, Kyl only up by 7%.		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: AZ-Sen: Uh oh, Kyl only up by 7%.  (Read 3177 times)
Moooooo
nickshepDEM
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« on: May 18, 2006, 10:38:31 PM »
Behavior Research Center:

AZ SENATE
Jon Kyl (R) 40%
Jim Pederson (D) 33%
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Gabu
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« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2006, 10:44:34 PM »
Who is the "Behavior Research Center"?
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
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« Reply #2 on: May 18, 2006, 11:08:17 PM »
Only the best pollster in Bullhead City.
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Nym90
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« Reply #3 on: May 18, 2006, 11:33:17 PM »
This poll is obviously likely to be BS, given its source. Too bad.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: May 19, 2006, 12:48:46 AM »
« Edited: May 31, 2015, 06:12:58 AM by Eraserhead »
I think its real. This race could be close. Penderson may have a real shot after all. His odds of victory are going up on tradesports.com because of this.
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Adlai Stevenson
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« Reply #5 on: May 19, 2006, 06:27:46 AM »
Pederson is definitely closing the gap, and if the election went terribly bad for the GOP Kyl could be defeated in an election night swing.
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Alcon
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« Reply #6 on: May 19, 2006, 06:42:30 AM »
Behavior Research Center may be the creepiest name for a pollster ever.

Too many undecideds, unknown pollster.  Be wary.
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TheresNoMoney
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« Reply #7 on: May 19, 2006, 11:19:45 AM »
Like I've said all along (and been ridiculed for it), this race will be within 10% (although Kyl will win).
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #8 on: May 19, 2006, 12:39:34 PM »
For some reason, Behavior Research Center sounds like a dog training service to me.
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Moooooo
nickshepDEM
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« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2006, 12:42:45 PM »
I told you foo's  they're the best in Bullhead City.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #10 on: May 19, 2006, 12:46:23 PM »
If Kyl doesn't win re-election and I'm beside a hole in the road, I'll fall through it Grin

Dave
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #11 on: May 19, 2006, 02:29:24 PM »
pederson will break 45%
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #12 on: May 20, 2006, 01:23:53 PM »
I saw this on Politics1 and laughed. We have plenty of problems with Senate seats right now but not enough to make this a serious race. Kyl will break 60%.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #13 on: May 20, 2006, 02:52:53 PM »
I wouldn't bet the farm on Kyl breaking 60, but he should break 55 at least.
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Soaring Eagle
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« Reply #14 on: May 20, 2006, 08:26:25 PM »
Quote from: Scoonie on May 19, 2006, 11:19:45 AM
Like I've said all along (and been ridiculed for it), this race will be within 10% (although Kyl will win).
I agree completely. I always knew Pederson would do well.
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Mr. Paleoconservative
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« Reply #15 on: May 21, 2006, 04:26:41 AM »
Penderson will be lucky to break 40% (barring Kyl's death or a major scandal) this November.  Kyl is about as likely to lose as Clinton. 
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Alcon
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« Reply #16 on: May 21, 2006, 04:44:00 AM »
Quote from: Reagan Raider on May 21, 2006, 04:26:41 AM
Penderson will be lucky to break 40% (barring Kyl's death or a major scandal) this November.  Kyl is about as likely to lose as Clinton. 

I have to disagree on both counts.  Pederson may not break 40 percent, but I personally think it more likely that he will than will not; every poll has shown as much.  And while Clinton has virtually zero chance of winning, Kyl has some small chance of losing if he does something very dumb.  Clinton is pretty much invincible.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #17 on: June 01, 2006, 02:47:50 AM »
Kyl has a garbage 44/47 approval/disapproval rating. No way will he break 60% and if the democrats have a good night maybe Penderson will squeak by with that sixth seat for us.
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #18 on: June 01, 2006, 04:04:43 PM »
I'm starting to think that Dems will pick up 4 seats:

Pennsylvania
Montana
Rhode Island
Arizona

I may change my prediction in the coming week...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #19 on: June 01, 2006, 09:48:43 PM »
Quote from: canola lilly nut -- no cost! on June 01, 2006, 04:04:43 PM
I'm starting to think that Dems will pick up 4 seats:

Pennsylvania
Montana
Rhode Island
Arizona

I may change my prediction in the coming week...

Umm..like I said I think we might have a chance in Arizona but we still have a way better shot in Ohio and Missouri..how could you list Arizona but not those? Just curious. If we have a really good night I think we might pick up six seats in the Senate.
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #20 on: June 02, 2006, 12:16:26 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on June 01, 2006, 09:48:43 PM
Quote from: canola lilly nut -- no cost! on June 01, 2006, 04:04:43 PM
I'm starting to think that Dems will pick up 4 seats:

Pennsylvania
Montana
Rhode Island
Arizona

I may change my prediction in the coming week...

Umm..like I said I think we might have a chance in Arizona but we still have a way better shot in Ohio and Missouri..how could you list Arizona but not those? Just curious. If we have a really good night I think we might pick up six seats in the Senate.
just a gut feeling really...we could've won Ohio with Hackett, but I don't see Brown pulling that one out.  Missouri could go either way.
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Soaring Eagle
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« Reply #21 on: June 02, 2006, 02:03:52 PM »
Quote from: canola lilly nut -- no cost! on June 02, 2006, 12:16:26 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on June 01, 2006, 09:48:43 PM
Quote from: canola lilly nut -- no cost! on June 01, 2006, 04:04:43 PM
I'm starting to think that Dems will pick up 4 seats:

Pennsylvania
Montana
Rhode Island
Arizona

I may change my prediction in the coming week...

Umm..like I said I think we might have a chance in Arizona but we still have a way better shot in Ohio and Missouri..how could you list Arizona but not those? Just curious. If we have a really good night I think we might pick up six seats in the Senate.
just a gut feeling really...we could've won Ohio with Hackett, but I don't see Brown pulling that one out.  Missouri could go either way.
I think McCaskill will win Missouri. She got 48% of the vote against Blunt, who is now unpopular. That combined with Talent's less than good approval rating should be just enough to win.

In Arizona, Kyl will most likely win, but he won't get over 60% of the vote.
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