KS districts (GOP internal): LaTurner +11 in CD02, Davids +20 in CD03
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  KS districts (GOP internal): LaTurner +11 in CD02, Davids +20 in CD03
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Author Topic: KS districts (GOP internal): LaTurner +11 in CD02, Davids +20 in CD03  (Read 301 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 08, 2020, 04:13:11 PM »

KS-02
LaTurner 47%
De La Isla 36%

KS-03
Davids 56%
Adkins 36%

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201008_KS.pdf

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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2020, 04:15:09 PM »


Interesting how David's lead is huge while LaTurner's lead is more what I expect. It makes me suspect that the Kansas metro moving left is real
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2020, 04:15:19 PM »

Ds too low in KS-02 and Ds too high in KS-03
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2020, 04:28:17 PM »

Ds too low in KS-02 and Ds too high in KS-03

Why would you say this? Laura Kelly got 55% in Johnson County and 67% in Wyandotte County, and that was with Greg Orman in the race. Given what we know about the pro-Democratic trends in suburbs such as Johnson County, particularly with this year's political conditions, I can easily see Davids matching Kelly's numbers-or even exceeding them-in her district. As for KS-02, LaTurner is a much less controversial candidate than Watkins was, and De La Isla-while a competent enough candidate in her own right-isn't as formidable as Paul Davis was (and Davis lost narrowly). I think that the race there will be within single digits, but it's not too far-fetched to say that LaTurner is the favorite.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2020, 05:06:01 PM »
« Edited: October 08, 2020, 05:35:02 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »

VCreek/AMG
September 29-30

KS01
761 likely voters
MoE: 3.5%

Mann (R) 61%
Barnett (D) 25%

KS02
739 likely voters
MoE: 3.6%

LaTurner 47%
De La Isla 36%

KS03
712 likely voters
MoE: 3.6%

Davids (D) 56%
Adkins (R) 36%

KS04
842 likely voters
MoE: 3.3%

Estes (R) 51%
Lombard (D) 37%
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