I think Biden can get 46-47% here. The coastal lowcountry is going to swing hard against Trump. I don't think Biden will win the state at all unless Trump further collapses. Harrison has a much better shot at knocking off Lindsey. The Supreme Court fight is not helping him.
Is not helping Graham or Harrison?
Graham. It seemed like the GOP felt like Graham "leading the charge" at the chair of the judiciary committee would bring people back to him, but polling suggests otherwise.
The race is going to be a dead heat and could go either way. If I had a gun to my head, I'd still say Graham narrowly survives, but a Harrison win is no longer a shocking outcome.