IN Holcomb +39 Bk Strategies (R)
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Author Topic: IN Holcomb +39 Bk Strategies (R)  (Read 505 times)
Canis
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« on: October 07, 2020, 02:02:01 PM »

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2020, 02:18:16 PM »

Safe R
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2020, 02:19:38 PM »

I don't think this race is very competitive. Maybe it's just me.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #3 on: October 07, 2020, 02:22:56 PM »

I don't think this race is very competitive. Maybe it's just me.

No, but NH, WVA, MO and MT are within single digits. I am rooting for Salango in WVA, he is only 10 back against Justice
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #4 on: October 07, 2020, 02:46:19 PM »

Well, it was fun while it lasted.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #5 on: October 07, 2020, 03:05:00 PM »

Safe R

A lot of Black Hoosiers will vote for Holcomb as well

Holcomb may get 30% of the Black vote.

Rare for a Republican

Holcomb will win Hamilton County by 40 points
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Canis
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« Reply #6 on: October 07, 2020, 03:14:57 PM »

Looks like the rainwater surge was a outlier/brief backlash to the mask mandate as I predicted the Republicans came home to Holcomb I think Myers will break 30% tho but Holcomb is beyond safe keep in mind this is a R internal
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: October 07, 2020, 03:17:03 PM »

It won't be this lopsided, but Holcomb is very safe.
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StateBoiler
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« Reply #8 on: October 07, 2020, 03:24:28 PM »
« Edited: October 07, 2020, 03:27:57 PM by StateBoiler »

It won't be this lopsided, but Holcomb is very safe.

Holcomb's number at least has been pretty reliable with their past monthly polling. Myers, Rainwater, and Undecided in contrast have been everywhere.

July -> August -> September -> October

Holcomb 57 -> 60 -> 57 -> 60
Myers 32 -> 20 -> 26 -> 21
Rainwater 3 -> 5 -> 9 -> 6
Undecided 8 -> 15 -> 8 -> 13

If I was the Rainwater campaign my internal goal would be 10%.
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Canis
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« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2020, 03:51:34 PM »

It won't be this lopsided, but Holcomb is very safe.

Holcomb's number at least has been pretty reliable with their past monthly polling. Myers, Rainwater, and Undecided in contrast have been everywhere.

July -> August -> September -> October

Holcomb 57 -> 60 -> 57 -> 60
Myers 32 -> 20 -> 26 -> 21
Rainwater 3 -> 5 -> 9 -> 6
Undecided 8 -> 15 -> 8 -> 13

If I was the Rainwater campaign my internal goal would be 10%.
Who are you voting for governor?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #10 on: October 07, 2020, 04:45:55 PM »

Holcomb internal
MoE: 4%
Changes with May 20-21 poll

Holcomb 60% (-4)
Myers 21% (n/c)
Rainwater 6% (not previously included)
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StateBoiler
fe234
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« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2020, 06:53:44 AM »
« Edited: October 08, 2020, 07:05:25 AM by StateBoiler »

It won't be this lopsided, but Holcomb is very safe.

Holcomb's number at least has been pretty reliable with their past monthly polling. Myers, Rainwater, and Undecided in contrast have been everywhere.

July -> August -> September -> October

Holcomb 57 -> 60 -> 57 -> 60
Myers 32 -> 20 -> 26 -> 21
Rainwater 3 -> 5 -> 9 -> 6
Undecided 8 -> 15 -> 8 -> 13

If I was the Rainwater campaign my internal goal would be 10%.
Who are you voting for governor?

I'm mostly happy with Holcomb. He's been a better governor than Pence. Pence in comparison to Mitch Daniels (didn't live here when Daniels was governor) was largely considered an ineffective governor considering he had supermajorities in both houses of the state legislature. Holcomb has not been DeSantis for example at all for Covid-19 considering this is a red state. And for the main political issue that occurred before Covid, him and state GOP chairman Kyle Hupfer were right on kicking Curtis Hill to the curb. At the same time, there's stuff he's done I don't get. The mask mandate for example. Let's take it face value he actually intended to make it law that everyone was required to wear a mask everywhere - this law had zero enforcement tied into it. I have a very pet hatred of laws that have no enforcement provisions. Those aren't laws, they're resolutions. It's one of the things how government tries to control your life but don't want to put in the legwork to enforce their own laws, aka virtue signaling bullsh**t. And even if you think the governor was right to do this and there should've been enforcement, it was an incredible overreach of executive power. If the governor thought the situation required this, he could've called a special session of the legislature, which there is precedent for him for because he did that earlier in his term for what in contrast were incredibly small-fry issues. Another one of these virtue signaling bullsh**t resolutions masquerading as laws he's done is ban the use of cell phones while driving. I'm not seeing cops pull anyone over for using their phone and I don't expect them to start. The Libertarian running for the State House district I'm in put a campaign ad up on Facebook saying "do you know it's now illegal in Indiana to use Google Maps while you drive?"

I'm going to try and get a Libertarian Party county chapter going in the county I recently moved to. I'm a never Trump conservative that never left that mindset and I have an abject hatred of the Democratic Party worldview, so for that reason and since Holcomb is going to win easily anyway, Rainwater.
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StateBoiler
fe234
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« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2020, 07:05:06 AM »

Safe R

A lot of Black Hoosiers will vote for Holcomb as well

Holcomb may get 30% of the Black vote.

Rare for a Republican

Holcomb will win Hamilton County by 40 points

1. There aren't a lot of black Hoosiers to start with.
2. All the ones in south Fort Wayne at least will reflexively vote Myers.
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Canis
canis
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« Reply #13 on: October 08, 2020, 10:47:36 AM »

It won't be this lopsided, but Holcomb is very safe.

Holcomb's number at least has been pretty reliable with their past monthly polling. Myers, Rainwater, and Undecided in contrast have been everywhere.

July -> August -> September -> October

Holcomb 57 -> 60 -> 57 -> 60
Myers 32 -> 20 -> 26 -> 21
Rainwater 3 -> 5 -> 9 -> 6
Undecided 8 -> 15 -> 8 -> 13

If I was the Rainwater campaign my internal goal would be 10%.
Who are you voting for governor?

I'm mostly happy with Holcomb. He's been a better governor than Pence. Pence in comparison to Mitch Daniels (didn't live here when Daniels was governor) was largely considered an ineffective governor considering he had supermajorities in both houses of the state legislature. Holcomb has not been DeSantis for example at all for Covid-19 considering this is a red state. And for the main political issue that occurred before Covid, him and state GOP chairman Kyle Hupfer were right on kicking Curtis Hill to the curb. At the same time, there's stuff he's done I don't get. The mask mandate for example. Let's take it face value he actually intended to make it law that everyone was required to wear a mask everywhere - this law had zero enforcement tied into it. I have a very pet hatred of laws that have no enforcement provisions. Those aren't laws, they're resolutions. It's one of the things how government tries to control your life but don't want to put in the legwork to enforce their own laws, aka virtue signaling bullsh**t. And even if you think the governor was right to do this and there should've been enforcement, it was an incredible overreach of executive power. If the governor thought the situation required this, he could've called a special session of the legislature, which there is precedent for him for because he did that earlier in his term for what in contrast were incredibly small-fry issues. Another one of these virtue signaling bullsh**t resolutions masquerading as laws he's done is ban the use of cell phones while driving. I'm not seeing cops pull anyone over for using their phone and I don't expect them to start. The Libertarian running for the State House district I'm in put a campaign ad up on Facebook saying "do you know it's now illegal in Indiana to use Google Maps while you drive?"

I'm going to try and get a Libertarian Party county chapter going in the county I recently moved to. I'm a never Trump conservative that never left that mindset and I have an abject hatred of the Democratic Party worldview, so for that reason and since Holcomb is going to win easily anyway, Rainwater.
Ah gotcha interesting thanks for sharing!
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