Quinnipiac: Biden +11 in FL, +13 in PA, +5 in IA

[JRP1994]

I don't expect it, but I'd legitimately die laughing if this wound up being right lol. Like, imagine if after all the talk about muh shy Trump voters, Biden won PA by a bigger margin than Trump wins KS

[The Mikado]

There is no way Biden wins Florida by double digits. Such a thing just cannot be. It'd break the fabric of reality.

[Gracile]

This is realistic in the way each of these three states will vote in relation to each other.

[Hope For A New Era]

D+5 Iowa. I want to believe...

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

The PA result matches up with other recent PA polls. I won't believe the FL & IA results until other highly-rated polls show the same result.

[ShamDam]

Too much skepticism! Not enough...

NUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUT

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D+5 Iowa. I want to believe...

It Galloway is tied in MO Gov, then Biden will have no problem winning Iowa

[Hammy]

Using 2018 as reference, Quinnipiac's polling vs final result is give all the undecideds to Trump and moving it another point to the right.

Florida/Iowa would be a tie to R+1
PA would be 53-47

Still quite a bad sign for Trump even with this taken into account especially if Iowa's even close.

[Sbane]

Biden at 51 in Florida is plausible, and so is 54 in Pennsylvania. It's Trump's numbers that seem low.

Quite possible it is either non-response bias or Republicans saying they are undecided. Though if Trump keeps acting like a madman, these might be the final margins.

[wbrocks67]

The PA result matches up with other recent PA polls. I won't believe the FL & IA results until other highly-rated polls show the same result.

RABA had Biden +2 and NYT/Siena had Biden +3 in IA

[Big Abraham]

Yeah I mean, it is in line with the national polls showing Biden up by 12-16. 🤷‍♂️

Biden is up 4-6 in Florida in all recent polling, other than this one and one from Suffolk which shows a tie.

In Pennsylvania he's up 5-9 points, other than this one, Monmouth which has him +10 (high end), and Emerson which has him +3 (low end)

Iowa ranges from Trump +4 to Biden +3. There is no question that this poll is an outlier

[Terry the Fat Shark]

eh, this matches up well with current national polling, though I doubt Biden wins FL by more than 5 in the end.

[Crumpets]

Biden may win Florida by 11 votes, but if he wins by 11%, I will change my sig to a Tom Brady Tampa Bay Bucs fanboy poster for six months.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Biden may win Florida by 11 votes, but if he wins by 11%, I will change my sig to a Tom Brady Tampa Bay Bucs fanboy poster for six months.

And I will eat an entire can of cat food. 

[Property Representative of the Harold Holt Swimming Centre]

The 65+ tabs are fascinating. Not only more pro-Biden than average, but also overwhelmingly liberal i.e. on issues such as Roe v Wade.

[Ferguson97]

Biden may win Florida by 11 votes, but if he wins by 11%, I will change my sig to a Tom Brady Tampa Bay Bucs fanboy poster for six months.

And I will eat an entire can of cat food. 

And I will get a map of Florida tattooed on my face.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

October 1-5
Changes with August 28 - September 1

FL
1256 likely voters
MoE: 2.8%

Biden 51% (+3)
Trump 40% (-5)
Someone else 1% (n/c)
Don't know/no answer 7% (+2)

IA
1205 likely voters
MoE: 2.8%

Biden 50%
Trump 45%
Someone else 2%
Don't know/no answer 3%

PA
1211 likely voters
MoE: 2.8%

Biden 54% (+2)
Trump 41% (-3)
Someone else 1% (n/c)
Don't know/no answer 3% (n/c)

[Badger]

Biden at 51 in Florida is plausible, and so is 54 in Pennsylvania. It's Trump's numbers that seem low.

Unenthusiastic Trump voters are pretty damn demoralized right now, so something like 51-47 in Florida and 54-45 in Pennsylvania come November 3 seems plausible to me.

This * 10. Though even then those Iowa numbers look unrealistically optimistic.

[Badger]

Biden may win Florida by 11 votes, but if he wins by 11%, I will change my sig to a Tom Brady Tampa Bay Bucs fanboy poster for six months.

And I will eat an entire can of cat food. 

And I will get a map of Florida tattooed on my face.

And I will like all of your Facebook videos doing these things. #inittogether #gotyourbacks

[KaiserDave]

Biden may win Florida by 11 votes, but if he wins by 11%, I will change my sig to a Tom Brady Tampa Bay Bucs fanboy poster for six months.

And I will eat an entire can of cat food. 

And I will get a map of Florida tattooed on my face.

And I will like all of your Facebook videos doing these things. #inittogether #gotyourbacks

And I will burn a photo of Phil Scott live on the internet.

jk lol I would never

[swf541]

After the Fox News and Data for Progress results tonight these seem much more plausible but still a bit too low for Trump support

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Biden may win Florida by 11 votes, but if he wins by 11%, I will change my sig to a Tom Brady Tampa Bay Bucs fanboy poster for six months.

And I will eat an entire can of cat food. 

And I will get a map of Florida tattooed on my face.

And I will like all of your Facebook videos doing these things. #inittogether #gotyourbacks

Huh.  You really wanna see me throw up that badly, Badger?

[GeorgiaModerate]

Biden may win Florida by 11 votes, but if he wins by 11%, I will change my sig to a Tom Brady Tampa Bay Bucs fanboy poster for six months.

And I will eat an entire can of cat food. 

And I will get a map of Florida tattooed on my face.

And I will like all of your Facebook videos doing these things. #inittogether #gotyourbacks

Huh.  You really wanna see me throw up that badly, Badger?

How badly do you usually throw up?

[OSR stands with Israel]

I would absolutely love it if Biden wins the mid west by double digits while losing Texas by 5. The 6th party system (especially when it was its peak from 1980-2006) is by far my favorite party system and some return to that would be great

[Badger]

Biden may win Florida by 11 votes, but if he wins by 11%, I will change my sig to a Tom Brady Tampa Bay Bucs fanboy poster for six months.

And I will eat an entire can of cat food. 

And I will get a map of Florida tattooed on my face.

And I will like all of your Facebook videos doing these things. #inittogether #gotyourbacks

Huh.  You really wanna see me throw up that badly, Badger?

Don't Kink Shame me!

😳😐

I'll show myself out now.