AZ - Ipsos/Reuters: Kelly +10%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

September 28 - October 7
Changes with September 11-17

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w2_10_07_2020.pdf

633 likely voters
MoE: 4.3% for likely voters

Kelly 51%  (+1)
McSally 41% (n/c)
Some other candidate 4% (+1)
Would not vote 0% (-1)
Not sure/prefer not to answer 4% (n/c)

[Calthrina950]

September 28 - October 7
Changes with September 11-17

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w2_10_07_2020.pdf

633 likely voters
MoE: 4.3% for likely voters

Kelly 51%  (+1)
McSally 41% (n/c)
Some other candidate 4% (+1)
Would not vote 0% (-1)
Not sure/prefer not to answer 4% (n/c)

Yet another poll showing that McSally is DOA. This has to be the most predictable Senatorial race of this cycle (and one of its most predictable races period), in terms of how consistent Kelly's leads have been over McSally throughout the entire year.

[Astatine]

I kinda feel AZ gets reallllly overpolled. At this point, it is pretty clear Kelly will very likely win and controlling the Senate will not come down to AZ - If Kelly loses it, Democrats will have already lost MT, ME, IA etc.

[Calthrina950]

I kinda feel AZ gets reallllly overpolled. At this point, it is pretty clear Kelly will very likely win and controlling the Senate will not come down to AZ - If Kelly loses it, Democrats will have already lost MT, ME, IA etc.

I agree. We need to see much more extensive polling in Montana, Maine, and Iowa, to say nothing of South Carolina, Alaska, and Kansas-all of which have upset potential for the Democrats. Kelly and Hickenlooper are basically guaranteed to win at this point, just as much as Tuberville is guaranteed to win in Alabama.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

It really says something about the national environment in October 2020 that I'm begging for more polling in South Carolina & Alaska than boring old Arizona

[KaiserDave]

Good bye coward