Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,305
Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91
|
 |
« on: October 07, 2020, 10:51:04 AM » |
|
Why did they only poll Travis county? They're obviously missing the hoards of Nice Reasonable Moderate FF Biden/Cornyn voters in Tarrant and Fort Bend!!
In all seriousness, TX-SEN really shouldn't be overlooked, and if we're going to grade IA polls on a curve (which I do), TX polls probably should be as well, given how much O'Rourke overperformed his polls. Even given that IA polls have been off recently, I'm pretty close to moving IA-SEN to Toss-Up, since Ernst needs a polling error like we've seen in recent years to win, and even assuming that there is a 3-4 point Democratic bias in IA polls, that would still only put her very slightly ahead.
|
