Reuters/Ipsos: Biden +8 in MI, tied in NC

[VAR]

MI
Biden 51% (+2)
Trump 43% (-1)

NC
Biden 47% (nc)
Trump 47% (nc)

https://www.devdiscourse.com/article/politics/1241692-poll-reutersipsos-poll-shows-biden-widening-lead-over-trump-in-michigan-tied-in-north-carolina

[Buzz]

Seems spot on.

[redjohn]

I think Michigan ends up 53-45, so the margin for MI seems right. I think Trump narrowly wins NC, but it's anyone's race there at the moment.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

It's weird that Biden is running 5 points behind Cunningham in this poll, but 4 points behind him in the ECU poll today.  I can't really see why differences in methodology would produce this split.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Both within reasonable range.

[Skill and Chance]

Genuinely surprised how Northern Biden's coalition is.  Could always be polling error, but it really sticks out at this point.

[Gass3268]

Genuinely surprised how Northern Biden's coalition is.  Could always be polling error, but it really sticks out at this point.

This election really feels like 2018 on steroids.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Changes with September 11-16

MI
September 29-October 6
709 likely voters
MoE: 4% for full sample of 1098 adults

NC
September 29-October 5
601 likely voters
MoE: 5% for full sample of 1000 adults

[Hammy]

NC continues to be a pure tossup.

[Skill and Chance]

Genuinely surprised how Northern Biden's coalition is.  Could always be polling error, but it really sticks out at this point.

This election really feels like 2018 on steroids.

So the national polls are dead on, but it's Biden +10 in Arizona, +4 in Georgia, +2 in Texas, and Biden still gets his big lead in Pennsylvania  but Trump +0.5 in Florida, Wisconsin is only Biden +1 and Michigan Biden +4 after all?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Doesn't matter NC started Early voting on 9-6, D's already cast their ballots, its an R favored poll

[It’s so Joever]

Genuinely surprised how Northern Biden's coalition is.  Could always be polling error, but it really sticks out at this point.

This election really feels like 2018 on steroids.

To be fair, there are a lot more steroids involved this year...

[ProudModerate2]

I'll take it.
Hoping Uncle Joe can pull-it-off in NC in Nov.

[Vosem]

It's weird that Biden is running 5 points behind Cunningham in this poll, but 4 points behind him in the ECU poll today.  I can't really see why differences in methodology would produce this split.

They were conducted over different times; this was September 29-October 6, so mostly before Cunningham's scandal broke, while the ECU poll was October 4-October 6.

Or just margin of error type of thing; two polls conducted perfectly correctly aren't going to agree perfectly just because of randomness.

[Landslide Lyndon]

So according to Ipsos North Carolina ill vote 12 points to the right of the nation.

[GeorgiaModerate]

So according to Ipsos North Carolina ill vote 12 points to the right of the nation.

Takes like this are tired.  When will people learn that two separate polls, regardless of whether they are by the same pollster, are independent and each has its own margin of error?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

good for trump

[Landslide Lyndon]

So according to Ipsos North Carolina ill vote 12 points to the right of the nation.

Takes like this are tired.  When will people learn that two separate polls, regardless of whether they are by the same pollster, are independent and each has its own margin of error?

Even if they are this kind of divergence is not good for a respectable polling company.

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Michigan President by Ipsos on 2020-10-06

Summary: D: 51%, R: 43%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: North Carolina President by Ipsos on 2020-10-06

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details