AK - Alaska Survey Research: Sullivan +4%
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  AK - Alaska Survey Research: Sullivan +4%
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Author Topic: AK - Alaska Survey Research: Sullivan +4%  (Read 329 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 06, 2020, 08:29:27 PM »

https://twitter.com/IvanMoore1/status/1313647136257372161

September 25 - October 4
676 likely voters
Changes with June 23 - July 7 poll

Sullivan 48% (-5)
Gross 44% (+6)
Undecided 8% (+1)
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2020, 08:31:09 PM »

Y. A. Y. to this race being competative. I want Gross to win, and even if he doesn't, at least the GOP actually has to spend valuable time and money here instead of ME or NC.

Funny how Sullivan lost support

I can not tell you how happy I am to get another AK-SEN poll
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swf541
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« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2020, 08:37:13 PM »

Gross def seems to be closing the gap here
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Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2020, 08:38:48 PM »

The state is weird enough that this is believable. And Sullivan, while still probably favored, doesn't have nearly the same strong brand as Lisa Murkowski or Don Young.
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Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: October 06, 2020, 08:43:38 PM »

For what it’s worth, the changes here are coupled with a slight improvement for Trump (compared to a too-good-to-be-true poll from June). So Gross is at least in with a shout. Alaska has a history of sharp late poll movements, too.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #5 on: October 06, 2020, 08:45:53 PM »

If Gross wants to win this, he’ll almost certainly have to outperform Biden (which he isn’t in this survey). It will be somewhat close, but this is not an awful poll for Sullivan.
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Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2020, 08:48:15 PM »

If Gross wants to win this, he’ll almost certainly have to outperform Biden (which he isn’t in this survey). It will be somewhat close, but this is not an awful poll for Sullivan.

Yeah, the margin is the same in this race as it is at the top of the ticket. Just two percent less for each candidate.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: October 06, 2020, 08:49:22 PM »

He won the race by the same margin like last time, plus 4
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2020, 08:53:18 PM »

If Sullivan is ahead, Daines probably is ahead by 4
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