Sooner Survey - Bice +4.
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Author Topic: Sooner Survey - Bice +4.  (Read 1241 times)
AncestralDemocrat.
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« on: October 05, 2020, 11:44:13 AM »
« edited: October 05, 2020, 11:50:00 AM by AncestralDemocrat. »



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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2020, 11:46:20 AM »
500 likely voters

6% undecided
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Woody
SirWoodbury
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E: 1.48, S: 1.30

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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2020, 11:49:00 AM »
Weak Likely R.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2020, 11:49:35 AM »
Expected.  Horn got the harder opponent out of the primary.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2020, 11:53:28 AM »
Probably flips.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2020, 11:54:39 AM »
If it doesn't flip this year, it definitely does in 2022.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2020, 12:22:26 PM »
Eh, Horn will still win. There's no way Trump is winning this district by 6, Horn has $$$, and seems to still have a net positive approval/fav here.
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Pollster
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2020, 12:23:34 PM »
No independents are undecided? What's going on there?
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2020, 12:29:29 PM »
Worse than I expected for Horn.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2020, 12:31:02 PM »
Press X for doubt
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VAR
VARepublican
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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2020, 12:41:00 PM »
Sooner is not a good pollster, but I still think Bice wins in the end.
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Kuumo
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« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2020, 01:04:19 PM »
I still think that Horn hangs on, but my head is starting to wonder if my gut is right on this one. Will obviously come down to the wire regardless of who wins.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2020, 01:49:59 PM »
Horn is obviously vulnerable, but one poll showing her down 4 doesn't mean it's time to write her obituary. Still Tilt R.
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GALeftist
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« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2020, 03:24:18 PM »
A shame, but this district is going away after redistricting in any case.
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S019
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« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2020, 03:27:44 PM »
Tossup, but Horn is definitely among the 5 most vulnerable Democratic incumbents in the House
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #15 on: October 05, 2020, 05:14:25 PM »
Fuller release:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201005_OK_ColeHargrave.pdf

Poll by Cole, Snodgrass & Associates
September 25-30
MoE: 4.3%
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #16 on: October 05, 2020, 07:38:24 PM »
I sense another Horn upset coming...

Safe R in 2022 though, even without redistricting.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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« Reply #17 on: October 06, 2020, 04:42:15 PM »
Quote from: Clinton/Newsom/Straight Ticket D 2018 voter for Mike Garcia on October 05, 2020, 03:27:44 PM
Tossup, but Horn is definitely among the 5 most vulnerable Democratic incumbents in the House

Yup. I won’t lose any sleep if she does lose since that seat is going to be filled by a Republican no matter what in 2022. I hope she runs for mayor of OKC or something though.
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