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October 21, 2020, 02:32:52 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, VirginiŠ)
  AL-AUM: Tuberville +12
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Author Topic: AL-AUM: Tuberville +12  (Read 594 times)
Electoral Titan Kim Reynolds
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« on: October 05, 2020, 04:22:36 PM »

Tuberville 54%
Jones 42%

https://yellowhammernews.com/independent-poll-tuberville-leading-jones-by-double-digits-trump-bludgeoning-biden-by-20-points/
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Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2020, 04:23:11 PM »

RIP FF
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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2020, 04:23:32 PM »
« Edited: October 05, 2020, 04:31:54 PM by АndriуValeriovich »

Sad, but this race is Safe R
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Horus
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2020, 04:24:13 PM »

AG is a step up anyways, he's too good for this state.
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Bootes Void
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2020, 04:33:05 PM »

Well Dems need 4 Senate seats to win. Colorado, Maine and Arizona are favoured to go dem but they just need one more to get the Senate along with a Biden victory
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2020, 04:52:25 PM »

We always knew Jones would lose.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2020, 04:55:58 PM »
« Edited: October 05, 2020, 05:26:01 PM by Roll Roons »

Been wanting to see a poll here. About what I would expect in the end.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2020, 05:06:14 PM »

It's a real shame that a FF like Doug Jones will be replaced by an idiot like Tuberville.
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sev
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2020, 05:09:53 PM »

42% is the same as Cory Gardner in his last two or three polls.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2020, 05:10:46 PM »

New Poll: Alabama Senator by AUM on 2020-10-03

Summary: D: 42%, R: 54%, U: 0%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2020, 05:22:10 PM »

https://www.aum.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/aum_poll_10042020_alabama1.pdf

September 30 - October 3
1072 registered voters
MoE: 4%
Changes with July 2-9 poll; trends calculated pre-rounding

Tuberville 54% (+10)
Jones 42% (+7)
Other 4% (-17 from Write-in at 7% and Don't know at 14%)
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Beida
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« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2020, 05:25:26 PM »

Unfortunate. Purple AL was fun while it lasted.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2020, 05:32:23 PM »

Unfortunate. Purple AL was fun while it lasted.

It was inevitable. This poll is very plausible, and a Tuberville win by low double digits, similar to those of Cramer and Blackburn in 2018, wouldn't surprise me. At least Jones looks like he will outperform Walt Maddox, who got 40.39% against Kay Ivey in the 2018 gubernatorial election.
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Arlington County Moderate 4 Trump (Against Bernie)
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« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2020, 06:18:18 PM »

Still not willing to write him off, but few things must be more humiliating than losing as an incumbent Democrat in the midst of a historic Democratic tidal wave. Iíll definitely give him credit for not even pretending/faking to care about Republicans/conservatives like Manchin, though. If I had to pick one red state Democrat to stay in the Senate, it would be him (not Manchin/Tester/Brown).
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2020, 08:12:17 PM »

Doug Jones is a massive FF and too good for Alabama.

I hope he has a place in Biden's cabinet.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #15 on: October 05, 2020, 08:19:27 PM »

Still not willing to write him off, but few things must be more humiliating than losing as an incumbent Democrat in the midst of a historic Democratic tidal wave. Iíll definitely give him credit for not even pretending/faking to care about Republicans/conservatives like Manchin, though. If I had to pick one red state Democrat to stay in the Senate, it would be him (not Manchin/Tester/Brown).

There's nothing humiliating about it.  Doug Jones worked an absolute miracle to win this state in the first place.  Nobody, not even him, expected to be able to hold it.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #16 on: October 05, 2020, 08:27:19 PM »

Still not willing to write him off, but few things must be more humiliating than losing as an incumbent Democrat in the midst of a historic Democratic tidal wave. Iíll definitely give him credit for not even pretending/faking to care about Republicans/conservatives like Manchin, though. If I had to pick one red state Democrat to stay in the Senate, it would be him (not Manchin/Tester/Brown).

Losing as an incumbent Democrat in California or New York would be humiliating. Losing as an incumbent Democrat in Alabama is not.
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Horsemask
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« Reply #17 on: October 05, 2020, 08:37:19 PM »

Jones deserves better. Hope he continues in public service in some fashion.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #18 on: October 05, 2020, 08:40:50 PM »

Still not willing to write him off, but few things must be more humiliating than losing as an incumbent Democrat in the midst of a historic Democratic tidal wave. Iíll definitely give him credit for not even pretending/faking to care about Republicans/conservatives like Manchin, though. If I had to pick one red state Democrat to stay in the Senate, it would be him (not Manchin/Tester/Brown).

Hm. You're right but.....Brown doesn't pull the Manchin schtick either.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #19 on: October 05, 2020, 09:33:19 PM »

Jones getting to 40% would be impressive to me.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
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« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2020, 09:37:16 PM »

AL was always Lean R, there aren't any statewide races D's are contesting
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The Mikado
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« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2020, 09:41:02 PM »

It'd be the political feat of a lifetime if he even keeps Tuberville under 55%.

I think that's a POSSIBLE goal, but a lift. Winning is off the table of course.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2020, 10:24:11 PM »

Still not willing to write him off, but few things must be more humiliating than losing as an incumbent Democrat in the midst of a historic Democratic tidal wave. Iíll definitely give him credit for not even pretending/faking to care about Republicans/conservatives like Manchin, though. If I had to pick one red state Democrat to stay in the Senate, it would be him (not Manchin/Tester/Brown).

Hm. You're right but.....Brown doesn't pull the Manchin schtick either.

Even Tester doesnít really.
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Xing
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« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2020, 11:36:00 PM »

Yeah, stick a fork in Jones, though I always suspected weíd only get this seat for three years and that Jones would lose quite badly. Pretty much Safe R, at this point.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #24 on: October 06, 2020, 01:47:10 AM »

Jones will be forever an American hero for keeping a pedophile out of the US senate.
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