CNN: Biden+16

[redjohn]

Undeniably good poll for Biden. I highly doubt he wins by 15%, but 55% isn't that outlandish of a number for him, considering it's likely he ends up with ~53% of the NPV.

[redjohn]

I really really hope we get a TX poll this week.


To paraphrase what I said in a prior thread:

The last 7 days remind me alot of 2008 when McCain briefly suspended his campaign due to the economic crash, leading to Obama breaking away in the swing states and narrowing the gap in AZ/GA/MO/MT/ND.

Of course, McCain's campaign wasn't broke, locked up in a hospital/White House or had a campaign staff who refused to return to work.

I'd also like to see quality polling of TX. If Biden's leading by 10 or more, he's almost certainly currently leading in TX.

[redjohn]

Wow. Looks like Biden is capturing the undecided vote. I'd say the poll was unreliable if Trump was at like 35 to get a Biden+16 result, but Biden getting this high of the vote share is extremely, awful, no-good, horrible news for Trump. Biden is still a heavy favorite to win this election. If we continue to see double-digit polls for Biden in a couple weeks, we're going to be talking about a whole new round of "swing states" come election day.