CNN: Biden+16

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I really really hope we get a TX poll this week.


To paraphrase what I said in a prior thread:

The last 7 days remind me alot of 2008 when McCain briefly suspended his campaign due to the economic crash, leading to Obama breaking away in the swing states and narrowing the gap in AZ/GA/MO/MT/ND.

Of course, McCain's campaign wasn't broke, locked up in a hospital/White House or had a campaign staff who refused to return to work.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

CNN has a weird history with national polls. One shows a blow-out, then everyone is freaking out over a bare Biden lead before the numbers are reverting back to landslide territory. While I have little illusions Biden will win the NPV by this margin, the trendline since the debate is against Trump. I think it's fair to say he lost further ground over the first days of October.

That debate seemed to matter a lot more than we thought