MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,276
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« on: October 07, 2020, 02:31:46 AM » |
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This race is reminding me more and more of IL-SEN 2016, just on a national stage:
*Republican who just barely got lucky by running against a corrupt/extremely unpopular Democrat in his last race is now facing completely different circumstances (far more popular opponent, lack of persuadable voters, more energized D base, erosion of suburban support, etc.) in his reelection bid which make it impossible for him to replicate his last victory.
*The incumbent is (badly) trailing a Democrat who has been considered "overrated" and "weak" and "likely to blow it" by many even when nothing suggests that this is the case.
*Many obsessively caution against underestimating the incumbent even when it should have been obvious that he’s pretty much been toast since day one.
*The incumbent eventually ends up self-destructing and loses about as badly as the polling averages have been suggesting.
(obviously not a flawless analogy)
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