OH(Trafalgar) - Trump +4 (user search)
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  OH(Trafalgar) - Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: OH(Trafalgar) - Trump +4  (Read 1670 times)
Buzz
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Posts: 2,186


« on: October 05, 2020, 12:22:05 PM »

If even Trafalgar only has Trump +4, Trump’s ceiling is probably winning Ohio by less than 5 percent. Before COVID, I thought Trump’s MEDIAN outcome would be winning Ohio by about 6 points in 2020, but it’s clear now that he has lost a significant number of his 2016 supporters.
Traflagar had Mike DeWine losing Ohio by 4 in 2018, so don’t go jumping to conclusions.
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