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October 20, 2020, 11:43:27 AM
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  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  2022 Gubernatorial matchups and ratings
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Author Topic: 2022 Gubernatorial matchups and ratings  (Read 756 times)
MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #25 on: October 17, 2020, 08:19:10 AM »

High Turnout
D- +AZ, GA, MD
R- +WI, MI, PA, RI, OR
Low turnout
D- GA, MD
R- PA, WI, RI, OR

Dems aren't losing OR
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#Joemala2020
RFKFan68
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« Reply #26 on: October 17, 2020, 07:56:01 PM »

GA is Lean D if Abrams runs. I don’t care who’s president. The 2014 Obama midterm shows GA is unfazed by who’s in office as Carter did better than Barnes.

She will have a sh**t ton of money, a more diverse GA, and control of the narrative (Kemp stole the last election).
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Clinton/Newsom/Straight Ticket D 2018 voter for Mike Garcia
S019
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« Reply #27 on: October 17, 2020, 09:37:06 PM »



MA moves to Lean D, if Baker retires, Safe R, if he runs again

VT moves to Likely D, if Scott retires

NH moves to Lean R, if Sununu runs for re-election, stays as tossup if he retires (which is what I expect) or Feltes wins (don't expect this)

IA moves to Safe if Kim Reynolds runs again (expecting her to run for Senate)

AK moves to Safe R, if Dunleavy retires
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jimmie
jamespol
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« Reply #28 on: October 17, 2020, 09:59:04 PM »



MA moves to Lean D, if Baker retires, Safe R, if he runs again

VT moves to Likely D, if Scott retires

NH moves to Lean R, if Sununu runs for re-election, stays as tossup if he retires (which is what I expect) or Feltes wins (don't expect this)

IA moves to Safe if Kim Reynolds runs again (expecting her to run for Senate)

AK moves to Safe R, if Dunleavy retires

Georgia GOV 2022 is lean Democratic not toss up.
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Clinton/Newsom/Straight Ticket D 2018 voter for Mike Garcia
S019
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« Reply #29 on: October 17, 2020, 10:01:01 PM »



MA moves to Lean D, if Baker retires, Safe R, if he runs again

VT moves to Likely D, if Scott retires

NH moves to Lean R, if Sununu runs for re-election, stays as tossup if he retires (which is what I expect) or Feltes wins (don't expect this)

IA moves to Safe if Kim Reynolds runs again (expecting her to run for Senate)

AK moves to Safe R, if Dunleavy retires

Georgia GOV 2022 is lean Democratic not toss up.

Tossup is fair this far out, but I do think Kemp enters 2022 as an underdog
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #30 on: October 18, 2020, 09:32:36 AM »
« Edited: October 18, 2020, 09:37:34 AM by MR. KAYNE WEST »



Tossup AZ, IA if Scholten runs, MA, NH 4 tossups

OH Senate if Ryan runs , he can win despite DeWine winning, DeWine is more popular with Ds. Same with GA, Warnock can win despite Kemp winning, GA has reelected all of its R govs
DeSantis, Kemp, Sisolak and Evers are safe

DeSantis has Rubio running on the same ticket, PA and WI Senate races are tilt D
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