Data For Progress: Biden +10 nationally
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Author Topic: Data For Progress: Biden +10 nationally  (Read 966 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« on: October 02, 2020, 03:32:42 PM »
https://www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2020/10/2/joe-biden-maintains-a-commanding-lead-in-the-presidential-race

Biden - 51%
Trump - 41%

GCB: D+9
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VAR
VARepublican
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« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2020, 03:34:06 PM »
Sep 30-Oct 1, 1146 LV, MoE: 2.9%

Blacks (n=121): Biden 61-22 (+39) (LMAO)
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2020, 03:35:47 PM »
Beautiful numbers. Thank you to “Big” Sean McElwee and friends for throwing these together on this already wonderful day.
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republican1993
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« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2020, 03:36:51 PM »
they have joe biden winning non-college educated by 8 points? Also, winning white voters by a point.. very off
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republican1993
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« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2020, 03:37:33 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on October 02, 2020, 03:35:47 PM
Beautiful numbers. Thank you to “Big” Sean McElwee and friends for throwing these together on this already wonderful day.

the numbers make no sense look at the cross tabs lmaooo 22% black vote win for trump and biden winning white voters nationally + non college educated voters.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2020, 03:42:44 PM »
Changes with August 13-14 poll

Biden 51% (+1)
Trump 41% (n/c)
Not sure 8% (-1)
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kireev
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« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2020, 03:59:51 PM »
IBD/TIPP has Biden leading among independents by 10 and the total is Biden +3.
Data for Progress has Biden leading among independents by 10 and the total is Biden +10.
Two completely different results.
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NYDem
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« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2020, 04:00:08 PM »
Democrats winning whites, Biden only at +39 in the black vote? This is bizarre. I don't feel like that is real or sustainable.

If Biden were polling a normal proportion of the black vote here he would be up by 14 points.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2020, 04:00:44 PM »
Quote from: kireev on October 02, 2020, 03:59:51 PM
IBD/TIPP has Biden leading among independents by 10 and the total is Biden +3.
Data for Progress has Biden leading among independents by 10 and the total is Biden +10.
Two completely different results.


If Biden is leading Indies by 10 he likely is winning close to 10. IBD must've done some weird weightin. Trump won Indies in 2016, yet Biden is winning them in their poll by 10 and is barely above Hillary's margin total.
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Person Man
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« Reply #9 on: October 02, 2020, 04:01:43 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on October 02, 2020, 04:00:44 PM
Quote from: kireev on October 02, 2020, 03:59:51 PM
IBD/TIPP has Biden leading among independents by 10 and the total is Biden +3.
Data for Progress has Biden leading among independents by 10 and the total is Biden +10.
Two completely different results.


If Biden is leading Indies by 10 he likely is winning close to 10. IBD must've done some weird weightin. Trump won Indies in 2016, yet Biden is winning them in their poll by 10 and is barely above Hillary's margin total.
The IBD poll had an equal number of Democrats and Republicans.
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kireev
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« Reply #10 on: October 02, 2020, 04:03:34 PM »
Quote from: NYDem on October 02, 2020, 04:00:08 PM
Democrats winning whites, Biden only at +39 in the black vote? This is bizarre. I don't feel like that is real or sustainable.

If Biden were polling a normal proportion of the black vote here he would be up by 14 points.

Their "Whites" also include Latinos. Notice they only have White, Black and Asian. Ho separate category for Latinos.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #11 on: October 02, 2020, 04:11:14 PM »
Quote from: kireev on October 02, 2020, 04:03:34 PM
Quote from: NYDem on October 02, 2020, 04:00:08 PM
Democrats winning whites, Biden only at +39 in the black vote? This is bizarre. I don't feel like that is real or sustainable.

If Biden were polling a normal proportion of the black vote here he would be up by 14 points.

Their "Whites" also include Latinos. Notice they only have White, Black and Asian. Ho separate category for Latinos.

Good catch.
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Rand
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« Reply #12 on: October 02, 2020, 09:06:37 PM »
Americans want a President that’s healthy, not full of disease.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #13 on: October 03, 2020, 12:13:34 PM »
Not relevant to this poll specifically, but "Data for Progress" is the most on-the-nose Obamacrat name for a pollster imaginable.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #14 on: October 03, 2020, 12:49:05 PM »
Double-digit lead.
Love to see them.
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