Broward County, FL: Biden +34
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  Broward County, FL: Biden +34		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Broward County, FL: Biden +34  (Read 747 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 02, 2020, 01:15:26 AM »
Biden 60%
Trump 26%

https://floridapolitics.com/archives/371354-survey-sheriff-tony-reelection

Clinton won here by 36 points.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2020, 01:30:03 AM »
Not good numbers for Trump in Broward County, considering undecided voters will tilt heavily DEM...

Plus pre-Trump COVID, which will likely shake things up a bit in FL...
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2020, 01:41:43 AM »
Quote from: NOVA Green on October 02, 2020, 01:30:03 AM
Not good numbers for Trump in Broward County, considering undecided voters will tilt heavily DEM...

Plus pre-Trump COVID, which will likely shake things up a bit in FL...



Like a 1% shift to Biden max.

Won't affect anything. There are really no undecideds at this point.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2020, 01:43:12 AM »
Biden will probably do similar to HRC in Broward County, but make up the 1.2 pt statewide deficit with older white voters, allowing him to narrowly carry FL.
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TheLaRocca
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« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2020, 01:56:56 AM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on October 02, 2020, 01:43:12 AM
Biden will probably do similar to HRC in Broward County, but make up the 1.2 pt statewide deficit with older white voters, allowing him to narrowly carry FL.

I think FL/TX vote similarly.

I'm pretty confident in a Biden win. Not sure about Florida though. I think Georgia goes before Florida.
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Devils30
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« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2020, 02:44:22 PM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on October 02, 2020, 01:43:12 AM
Biden will probably do similar to HRC in Broward County, but make up the 1.2 pt statewide deficit with older white voters, allowing him to narrowly carry FL.

60-26 can easily become 69-30 in the actual vote. But Trump seems to be running closer to his 2016 margins in Broward, Dade but 5-10% behind in Hillsborough, Pinellas, Sarasota etc.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2020, 03:39:15 PM »
Frederick Polls/Gregory Tony internal (Democratic)

September 21-23
448 likely voters
MoE: 4.8%

Sheriff race
Gregory Tony (D) 52%
Wayne Clark (I) 20%
Undecided 28%

HRC won here 67%-31% in 2016.
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