John Breaux runs for re-election in 2004
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 10:38:51 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs?
  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  John Breaux runs for re-election in 2004
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: John Breaux runs for re-election in 2004  (Read 240 times)
Huey Long is a Republican
New Tennessean Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,506
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 01, 2020, 09:03:04 PM »

What happens from that point onward? Iirc, he was p Popular in Louisiana and likely would've either A) beaten Vitter easily in a run-off or wouldn't have to deal with one in the first place. What happens in 2010/2016? Can Breaux remain the sole Southern Dem remnant or will he retire/be voted out in 2010/2016?
Logged
Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,985
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2020, 09:31:53 PM »

Vitter may have run, but would have gotten crushed. Breaux was insanely popular, and would have won without a runoff.

2010 would be more competitive. Assuming he runs, he'd probably still be narrowly favored, but it depends on how far he could have been able to run away from the shadow of Obama.

He'd retire by 2016 and be succeeded by Kennedy.
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,823
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2020, 09:58:49 PM »

2004:

John Breaux (D) 55%

David Vitter 45%

2010 (Jungle Primary)

John Breaux (D) 44%

Rodney Alexander (R) 31%

Joseph Cao (R) 25%


2010 (Runoff)

John Breaux (D) 50.07%
Rodney Alexander (R) 49.93%

Breaux basically survives because Cao voters migrate mostly migrate to him rather than Alexander.

2016 (Jungle Primary)

Bobby Jindal (R) 44%
John Breaux (D) 39%
Tony Perkins (R) 17%

2016 (Runoff)

Bobby Jindal (R) 54%
John Breaux(D) 46%

While Perkins voters split mostly evenly, that actually slightly favors Jindal, who was persuaded to drop his Presidential bid and run (much like Hickenlooper and Bullock were in 2020 IRL)
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,615


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2020, 10:02:42 PM »

He'd have a chance in 2004, but would obviously lose in both 2010 and 2016.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.028 seconds with 13 queries.