GA-WSBTV/Landmark: Biden +2
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  GA-WSBTV/Landmark: Biden +2		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: GA-WSBTV/Landmark: Biden +2  (Read 4435 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« on: October 01, 2020, 05:00:58 PM »


poll was Trump +7 last poll, entirely post debate.
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here2view
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2020, 05:01:41 PM »
Good poll for Trump, he's getting the debate bump
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Horus
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2020, 05:01:49 PM »
Too many undecideds
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2020, 05:03:08 PM »
Woah! Was Trump +7 in the last poll.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2020, 05:03:11 PM »
Trump +7 to Biden +2. Wowza.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2020, 05:03:18 PM »
Biden +2, with rounding or the raw point difference.
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Woody
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« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2020, 05:03:38 PM »
All those undecideds will break hard for Trump, due to the southern whites bump.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2020, 05:03:45 PM »
Biden +2 actually.

Wonder if they fixed their methodology or got the correct mixture of voters. Their last poll was ridiculous (Trump +7)

But yeah, undecideds is still a bit too high.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2020, 05:03:54 PM »
GA was never Trump +7, but this is to be expected. GA is Tilt D at this point.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2020, 05:04:49 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on October 01, 2020, 05:03:18 PM
Biden +2, with rounding or the raw point difference.
Fair enough, I had Biden +1 because that's what they said on the livestream.
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tagimaucia
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« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2020, 05:05:39 PM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on October 01, 2020, 05:03:38 PM
All those undecideds will break hard for Trump, due to the southern whites bump.

I mean, I'll take a look at the cross tabs when they come out, but the undecideds in every other recent  GA poll I've looked at have been majority POC.
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RFKFan68
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« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2020, 05:06:04 PM »
Tilt Biden.

Abrams came within 1.5 with an older, whiter electorate than 2016. This isn’t surprising.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2020, 05:06:58 PM »
If Biden gets 28% of whites, he's winning the state as a whole.
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forza nocta
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« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2020, 05:07:09 PM »
From this poll:

Who won the debate?

Biden 46.7%
Trump 37.0%
Tied/Neither 12.7%
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2020, 05:07:23 PM »
Who won the debate? Biden 47%, Trump 37%

H2H:
Black voters: Biden 82, Trump 8
White voters: Trump 64, Biden 29
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2020, 05:07:31 PM »
Wonder how Hammy or Horus will concern-troll this one...
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Horus
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« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2020, 05:09:08 PM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on October 01, 2020, 05:07:31 PM
Wonder how Hammy or Horus will concern-troll this one...


I already responded. It's a good poll for Biden but there are too many undecideds. My current prediction is an improvement for Biden over Abrams but not enough to win. It's truly just not there yet.
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redjohn
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« Reply #17 on: October 01, 2020, 05:09:25 PM »
The red wall is crumbling down.

Non-college educated white voters are not going to support Trump with the margins they backed him in 2016; Biden is a boring white man that is not a demon to them in the way HRC was. College-educated white voters are fleeing the Republican Party in droves and will overwhelmingly back Biden this cycle. Trump's not just going to lose GA, he's going to lose at least half a dozen states he won in 2016.
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here2view
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« Reply #18 on: October 01, 2020, 05:10:14 PM »
Quote from: Horus on October 01, 2020, 05:09:08 PM
Quote from: libertpaulian on October 01, 2020, 05:07:31 PM
Wonder how Hammy or Horus will concern-troll this one...


I already responded. It's a good poll for Biden but there are too many undecideds. My current prediction is an improvement for Biden over Abrams but not enough to win. It's truly just not there yet.

Yeah okay Amy
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DrScholl
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« Reply #19 on: October 01, 2020, 05:10:21 PM »
It seems like Georgia is starting to really starting to close toward a Biden win. This is the third poll with Biden leading in the past couple of days.
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WD
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« Reply #20 on: October 01, 2020, 05:11:07 PM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on October 01, 2020, 05:03:38 PM
All those undecideds will break hard for Trump, due to the southern whites bump.


What?
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redjohn
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« Reply #21 on: October 01, 2020, 05:11:12 PM »
Quote from: here2view on October 01, 2020, 05:10:14 PM
Quote from: Horus on October 01, 2020, 05:09:08 PM
Quote from: libertpaulian on October 01, 2020, 05:07:31 PM
Wonder how Hammy or Horus will concern-troll this one...


I already responded. It's a good poll for Biden but there are too many undecideds. My current prediction is an improvement for Biden over Abrams but not enough to win. It's truly just not there yet.

Yeah okay Amy

The myth that there are states that are impossible to win by Democrats until a certain date (GA, TX) is quite literally the "blue wall 2016" theory of this election. They're ready to flip, and some of these "unwinnable" states will flip.
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VAR
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« Reply #22 on: October 01, 2020, 05:11:28 PM »
Quote from: tagimaucia on October 01, 2020, 05:05:39 PM
Quote from: SirWoodbury on October 01, 2020, 05:03:38 PM
All those undecideds will break hard for Trump, due to the southern whites bump.

I mean, I'll take a look at the cross tabs when they come out, but the undecideds in every other recent  GA poll I've looked at have been majority POC.

10% of Black voters and 8% of white voters are undecided, so I guess undecideds in this poll are majority white.
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redjohn
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« Reply #23 on: October 01, 2020, 05:12:44 PM »
Being a Trump supporter must be difficult with brutal poll after brutal poll being released for the past week. Eventually you have to admit to yourself that these trends are real, and that the real swing-y states in this election are states Trump comfortably won in 2016.
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KaiserDave
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« Reply #24 on: October 01, 2020, 05:13:58 PM »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on October 01, 2020, 05:03:38 PM
All those undecideds will break hard for Trump, due to the southern whites bump.

That's not a thing
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