CNBC/Change Research: Biden +13

[wbrocks67]

Poll conducted Tuesday & Wednesday

Biden 54
Trump 41

Poll also found Biden won the debate, 53% say Biden won, while only 29% say Trump won.

Wednesday’s CNBC/Change Research poll also showed Biden gaining ground nationally over Trump: 54% of respondents picked Biden, while 41% picked Trump. That’s wider than the gap currently displayed by some national polling average trackers.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/01/biden-leads-polls-voters-say-he-beat-trump-in-first-debate.html

[Dr. Arch]

Holy smokes

[redjohn]

Quick, somebody post the oh yeah meme.

Shaping up to be a Biden landslide.

[Holmes]

Love to see it.

[america is tariffied]

Good for Trump.

[Illiniwek]

If I may:

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!

[redjohn]

The race is probably shifting to Biden+9. This is a minor outlier for now, but Biden seems to be expanding his lead (or rather, Trump is decreasing his numbers)

[Blackacre]

I wonder how much of this will stick, but if this is true, Biden just doubled his lead for a while.

Remember, any day Trump isn't closing the gap is a good day for Biden. Doubly so if the gap widens. That's more ground for the incumbent to make up

[หมูเด้ง]

If I may:

OOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH  YEAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!

I miss nuclear Elmo.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

925 likely voters
MoE: 3.22% for the full likely voter sample
Changes with September 18-20 poll

Biden 54% (+3)
Trump 41% (-1)

[WD]

[Gass3268]

Change Research is trash, but yikes for Trump.

[Holmes]

Not that I think Biden will win by 13, but this tracks with a slight Biden lead in Iowa and a close race in South Carolina.

[หมูเด้ง]

The hounds are bellowing as they tree their prey...

[Paul Biya isn’t going far enough]

There is no way to spin it...this is a terrible poll for Trump.

[BobbieMac]

I've been calling a 54 / 44 Biden landslide for weeks but now I'm worried it will be even bigger.

[Don't blame me I voted for Harris]

Biden is so done it's unbelievable. This place is going to be a sh*tshow on election night.

[Horus]

This is probably Trump's worst poll of the cycle so far.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

At the risk of having something large and heavy hurled at my head, isn't Change a pretty poor pollster? (Not to say that this doesn't spell even more trouble for President Trump.)

[redjohn]

Before people bring up 2016 polling, the main difference is that when polls would show Clinton with hugely inflated leads it would be immediately in the aftermath of something stupid Trump did/said. Then her margins would deflate back to low single-digits. This margin is consistent with a Biden+9 national lead, which has barely fluctuated for months.

[wbrocks67]

Before people bring up 2016 polling, the main difference is that when polls would show Clinton with hugely inflated leads it would be immediately in the aftermath of something stupid Trump did/said. Then her margins would deflate back to low single-digits. This margin is consistent with a Biden+9 national lead, which has barely fluctuated for months.

Not to mention, it would still be like 48-40 or like 46-38 or something. This has 5% undecided/other versus the anywhere from 10-15% we saw in 2016.

[wbrocks67]

At the risk of having something large and heavy hurled at my head, isn't Change a pretty poor pollster? (Not to say that this doesn't spell even more trouble for President Trump.)

Change is pretty junky, so at this point all we can do is use the trends, and Biden is up by 4 from their poll last week

[Splash]

Yeah, Change Research kind of sucks, but we've been getting quite a number of Biden +10, Biden +11 polls over the past couple of days. Most of these firms don't have much in the way of an established track-record though, so I've been holding off on concluding that Biden's lead is increasing, but it kind of does appear that way, tbh.

[Rand]

Throbbing.

[Darthpi - Crush the Oligarchy]

The end of this long national nightmare is in sight.