NH - UNH: Biden+9
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 02:43:09 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  NH - UNH: Biden+9		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: NH - UNH: Biden+9  (Read 767 times)
n1240
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,207


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 30, 2020, 11:22:31 AM »
https://scholars.unh.edu/survey_center_polls/610/

Biden 53
Trump 44

9/24-28, 972 LV
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,773


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 30, 2020, 11:23:44 AM »
MoE: 3.1%

Biden 53% (n/c)
Trump 44% (+4)
Jorgensen 1% (not previously included)
Another candidate 0% (but some voters) (-4)
Don't know or undecided 3% (n/c)
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 30, 2020, 11:26:42 AM »
Favorabilities:
Trump 42/55 (-13)
Biden 44/46 (-2)

Gender gap  Smiley
Men: Trump +1
Women: Biden +21

Connecticut Valley: Trump 59-33 (+26)
Manchester area: Trump 51-44 (+7)
Mass border: Biden 67-31 (+36)
North Country: Biden 67-33 (+34)
Seacoast: Biden 64-33 (+31)
Central/Lakes: Trump 56-43 (+13)
Logged
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 30, 2020, 11:28:23 AM »
Concord Joe!
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,402
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 30, 2020, 11:30:22 AM »
Montana-2012 redux? Tongue
Logged
DaleCooper
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,071


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 30, 2020, 11:33:06 AM »
The gender gap is staggering, but Trump only being +1 with men in a state as white as New Hampshire is a huge red flag for him, or at least it should be. NH was pretty similar to the Big 3 states in the Rust Belt, so if Trump has lost this much ground with the white man, even if he's still ahead, then he's toast.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 30, 2020, 11:33:30 AM »
Can you believe there are actually people who think this state is competitive?
Logged
redjohn
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,685


Political Matrix
E: -3.35, S: -4.17

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 30, 2020, 11:34:03 AM »
The main lesson, as it was in 2016, is that the trends that are pushing the race in NH to not even be remotely competitive are going to be present throughout all of the northern battleground states. Trump's nearly doomed.
Logged
DaleCooper
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,071


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 30, 2020, 11:36:08 AM »
Quote from: darthpi on September 30, 2020, 11:33:30 AM
Can you believe there are actually people who think this state is competitive?

There's a lot of money to be made in the PredictIt "Trump wins a state he lost in 2016" market. I believe as recently as a week ago No was selling for as cheap as .60
Logged
kireev
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 294


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 30, 2020, 11:38:02 AM »
33% have a college degree - a bit too low for NH.
30% are registered republicans, 28% are registered democrats. Biden is leading by 25% among registered independents.
49% voted for Clinton, 45% for Trump in 2016. Only 6% did not vote in 2016, which seems rather small. No option for 'other" is given.

Overall, no clear DEM or REP lean, so Biden +9% seems about right.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,839
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 30, 2020, 12:54:27 PM »
More likely than the 14% edge that a recent poll showed. New Hampshire is usually close to the national average, and even if it is not quite an analogue for any state other than Maine, it is similar enough to Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin  that Biden up 9% in the Granite State means that Biden is up 7% or so in what will be the tipping-point state ()which could be Arizona). 
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,116
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 30, 2020, 01:26:45 PM »
Strong likely D.
Logged
NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,454
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 30, 2020, 03:53:29 PM »
This is after Trump outspending Biden 2:1 in NH....

"Money can't buy you love man"
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 30, 2020, 03:54:06 PM »
Titanium Safe D.

But if Trump wants to continue to waste time and money on 4 EVs he has no chance of winning, he can be my guest.
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,919
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 30, 2020, 03:54:27 PM »
Angry New Hampshire women have enough of the clown...
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,753
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 30, 2020, 03:55:54 PM »

Fixed.
Logged
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,689
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 30, 2020, 11:09:20 PM »
Quote from: Young Latino male Clinton-O’Rourke-Fletcher voter for TRUMP on September 30, 2020, 11:26:42 AM
Favorabilities:
Trump 42/55 (-13)
Biden 44/46 (-2)

Gender gap  Smiley
Men: Trump +1
Women: Biden +21

Connecticut Valley: Trump 59-33 (+26)
Manchester area: Trump 51-44 (+7)
Mass border: Biden 67-31 (+36)
North Country: Biden 67-33 (+34)
Seacoast: Biden 64-33 (+31)
Central/Lakes: Trump 56-43 (+13)

Connecticut Valley going to Trump by 26 pts would be incredible  Tongue
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 30, 2020, 11:18:39 PM »
I guess that leaves Nevada as the only state folks will be fixated on as a possible Trump flip?
Logged
Rand
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,147
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 30, 2020, 11:18:51 PM »
Remember when Donald Plump thought he had a shot here?

Obese loser.
Logged
cvparty
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,099
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 30, 2020, 11:50:46 PM »
Quote from: 🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸 on September 30, 2020, 11:09:20 PM
Quote from: Young Latino male Clinton-O’Rourke-Fletcher voter for TRUMP on September 30, 2020, 11:26:42 AM
Favorabilities:
Trump 42/55 (-13)
Biden 44/46 (-2)

Gender gap  Smiley
Men: Trump +1
Women: Biden +21

Connecticut Valley: Trump 59-33 (+26)
Manchester area: Trump 51-44 (+7)
Mass border: Biden 67-31 (+36)
North Country: Biden 67-33 (+34)
Seacoast: Biden 64-33 (+31)
Central/Lakes: Trump 56-43 (+13)

Connecticut Valley going to Trump by 26 pts would be incredible  Tongue
so would MA border going for biden by 36
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,402
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 01, 2020, 03:59:47 AM »

Psh, what do you know about *Indiana*, IndyRep?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.231 seconds with 14 queries.