IA- WHO13 News/RABA Research: Biden +2

[libertpaulian]

https://twitter.com/hjessy_/status/1311411913516032001

I think it's safe to say we're seeing pro-Biden trends in Ohiowa...

[WD]

If Biden is really up in IA, then this election is over.

[Podgy the Bear]

POUR IT ON, JOE!!!

[SnowLabrador]

Not bad! Not bad at all!

[President Johnson]

Just thought why the heck does the World Health Organisation conduct polling in Iowa?

Maybe 2016 was an outlier in Iowa and Ohio and the 2018 gubernatorial races, which are often invoked as proof these two states are now red states, hardly comparable to 2020. I still think Trump will win both narrowly, but if he's struggling in Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin are out of reach.

[Holmes]

I feel like the election is slowly drifting towards Biden in these final weeks. Maybe undecideds are settling on Biden or LV screens are picking up new voters.

[Lief 🗽]

The Blue Wall is back!

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

33 years after his first foray into a presidential race, Joe Biden might finally win Iowa.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Ernst is finished, this was Indy Rep, who lectures D's about how safe IA, MT are, he is so wrong about IA. You think he would have learned about ME, but he hasnt

I don't mind analysis, by Indy Rep lectures us

[Holmes]

Ernst is finished, this was Indy Rep, who lectures D's about how safe IA, MT are, he is so wrong about IA. You think he would have learned about ME, but he hasnt

Tell him.

[Splash]

Wonderful news to add to Joe Biden's Sherman-esque march through GA and SC!

[JRP1994]

Waterloo Joe!

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

780 likely voters

https://twitter.com/jacobfhsmith/status/1311412316207034371

[Lief 🗽]

Did they poll the senate?

[redjohn]

Wow. Biden's going to lead in the IA polling average with just a month until election day. IA is a tossup. Trump's toast in WI+MI+MN.

[WD]

Did they poll the senate?

I believe the senate numbers will be released at 6 PM EST

[Alben Barkley]

Wow. Biden's going to lead in the IA polling average with just a month until election day. IA is a tossup. Trump's toast in WI+MI+MN.

And with OH also a toss-up, he’s toast in PA as well.

Midwest/rust belt seems to be returning to 2012 levels.

[Holmes]

Wow. Biden's going to lead in the IA polling average with just a month until election day. IA is a tossup. Trump's toast in WI+MI+MN.

And with OH also a toss-up, he’s toast in PA as well.

Midwest/rust belt seems to be returning to 2012 levels.

Albeit with a different coalition of voters. Less rural and more suburban.

[Buzz]

All of these are pre-debate also lol.  I don’t exactly expect things to get better any time soon.

[redjohn]

Wow. Biden's going to lead in the IA polling average with just a month until election day. IA is a tossup. Trump's toast in WI+MI+MN.

And with OH also a toss-up, he’s toast in PA as well.

Midwest/rust belt seems to be returning to 2012 levels.

It's probably more likely than not at this point that Biden wins at least one of IA+OH.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Official release:

https://who13.com/news/joe-biden-leads-president-trump-by-two-points-in-nexstar-iowa-2020-raba-research-poll/

Other candidate 2%
Undecided 3%

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Dominating

[pbrower2a]

With Q showing a near-tie in South Carolina (Trump up by only 1), Trump could end up losing to Biden in an Eisenhower-style landslide.

[woodley park]

Seems like the band is getting back together again for one last swan song. Bittersweet.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Wow. Biden's going to lead in the IA polling average with just a month until election day. IA is a tossup. Trump's toast in WI+MI+MN.

And with OH also a toss-up, he’s toast in PA as well.

Midwest/rust belt seems to be returning to 2012 levels.

If Biden does win Iowa and Ohio, it won’t be because of a return to 2012. Biden will probably gain some WWC voters back to be sure, but the gains will almost definitely be driven more by suburban swings like we’ve seen everywhere else. Kentucky Governor’s race last year was a real good example of this when you compare Beshear’s 2015 win to his 2019 win. The margin was essentially the same statewide, but he traded large swaths of rural counties for urban and suburban gains. I guess you’d see places like Warren and Dallas counties in Iowa flip in this analogy.