KS-Civiqs/Daily Kos: Trump +10

[VAR]

Trump 52%
Biden 42%

SEN: Marshall 50-43

https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_KS_banner_book_2020_09_dw29u7.pdf

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

September 26-29
677 likely voters
MoE: 4.5%

Someone else 4%
Unsure 1%

[Dr. Arch]

When the Republican is polling tied in SC and near single digits in KS, they're in deep trouble.

[NOVA Green]

The largest City in Kansas, Wichita likely flips in 2020 for both PRES and US-SEN with these numbers from today's two polls of KS (+10-12% KS Trump)...

Not all of the movement /swings are going to be in suburban KC area...

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I never really got the idea that bollier would outrun Biden bigly. Maybe a little bit, but not really that much.

[Rand]

Proud boys, stand by...

[tmthforu94]

New Poll: Kansas President by Civiqs on 2020-09-29

Summary: D: 42%, R: 52%, U: 1%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Hope For A New Era]

I never really got the idea that bollier would outrun Biden bigly. Maybe a little bit, but not really that much.

No, she will. The only question is if it will be by enough to win. I'm still estimating ~10 points, so it all depends on Biden's margin. Probably ranges from Bollier +2 to Marshall +5.

[NOVA Green]

Proud boys, stand by...

Oregonian Antifas are already organizing a Biker Tour to Kansas to give them a "What's up moment"...

Meanwhile BLM formations are rolling up from DFW and H-Town not to mention SLO amd Chi-Town....

Pretty clear that Biden support is predominately driven by the Socialists and the extreme-left--- outside agitators are rolling into Kansas to take away the Guns and Right-to-Vote for White residents of Kansas...

"Outside Agitators" is the main reason why so many parts of America are swinging heavily against the Trump Brand of the Republican Party...

If this is not obvious, naturally you/me/we/all/y'all must be total chumps getting played  by the MSM and the unfair treatment of our President, who is bringing jobs back to America... going toe to toe with International Trade Competitors, etc....

If Trump only wins KS by 10%, the election results are obviously rigged...

[Alben Barkley]

The largest City in Kansas, Wichita likely flips in 2020 for both PRES and US-SEN with these numbers from today's two polls of KS (+10-12% KS Trump)...

Not all of the movement /swings are going to be in suburban KC area...

Wait was Wichita not Democratic already? I thought the city itself was Democratic, but the suburbs/surrounding rural areas kept Sedgwick County R.

[NOVA Green]

The largest City in Kansas, Wichita likely flips in 2020 for both PRES and US-SEN with these numbers from today's two polls of KS (+10-12% KS Trump)...

Not all of the movement /swings are going to be in suburban KC area...

Wait was Wichita not Democratic already? I thought the city itself was Democratic, but the suburbs/surrounding rural areas kept Sedgwick County R.

Unfortunately no (Partisan Angle), but statistically wise yes...





https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=386520.msg7572866#msg7572866

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I never really got the idea that bollier would outrun Biden bigly. Maybe a little bit, but not really that much.

No, she will. The only question is if it will be by enough to win. I'm still estimating ~10 points, so it all depends on Biden's margin. Probably ranges from Bollier +2 to Marshall +5.

Hard disagree. This +10 Trump +7 Marshall thing makes perfect sense to me. Almost all the polls that had Bollier doing better margin wise than Trump had her doing similarly to Biden % wise, but Marshall lagging Trump. Undecideds are breaking to Marshall.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I never really got the idea that bollier would outrun Biden bigly. Maybe a little bit, but not really that much.

No, she will. The only question is if it will be by enough to win. I'm still estimating ~10 points, so it all depends on Biden's margin. Probably ranges from Bollier +2 to Marshall +5.

Roses are red, violets are blue, I may not be good, but I'm better than you

[Hope For A New Era]

I never really got the idea that bollier would outrun Biden bigly. Maybe a little bit, but not really that much.

No, she will. The only question is if it will be by enough to win. I'm still estimating ~10 points, so it all depends on Biden's margin. Probably ranges from Bollier +2 to Marshall +5.

Roses are red, violets are blue, I may not be good, but I'm better than you

Accolades granted!

I was right about what the winning coalition for her would be, though. That's some impressive margin-cutting in the rurals. Not many Democrats managed that this year. It's clear she was a very strong candidate. It was polarization that killed her in the end.

I have to wonder if she could have won in 2018, if there had been a Senate race in KS that year. No Trump on the ballot + Kelly coattails. It would have been very close.